What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a La Liga full-back, 25/26, 1,766 appearances
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Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.
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Over the last 10 La Liga games, Jonny Otto has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10), 1+ total shot in 40%, 1+ foul committed in 60%, 1+ foul won in 40%, and been booked in 20% (2 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable full-backs
The closest 5 profiles to Jonny Otto in La Liga, 26/27 — drawn from 19 full-backs with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jonny OttoDeportivo Alavés | 6 | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| Sergio GómezReal Sociedad | 7 | 0.61 | 0.46 |
| Fran GarcíaReal Betis | 6 | 0.00 | 0.56 |
| Eric GarcíaFC Barcelona | 6 | 0.77 | 0.77 |
| Alvaro MantillaReal Racing Club | 6 | 0.35 | 1.05 |
| Héctor BellerínReal Betis | 7 | 0.52 | 1.04 |
| These 5, combined | 0.45 | 0.77 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Jonny Otto featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Athletic Club19 Sep | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Real Racing Club12 Sep | 90 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| Osasuna6 Sep | 80 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| Villarreal30 Aug | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| @ Rayo Vallecano23 Aug | 70 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Getafe16 Aug | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| @ Elche9 May | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Athletic Club2 May | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| Mallorca25 Apr | 90 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| @ Real Madrid21 Apr | 90 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 7 current La Liga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All La Liga referees
Frequently asked
How often does Jonny Otto have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 La Liga games, Jonny Otto has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Jonny Otto average?
Across the last 10 La Liga games, Jonny Otto is averaging 0.21 shots on target and 0.41 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Jonny Otto get booked?
Jonny Otto is averaging 0.21 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Jonny Otto commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Jonny Otto commits 0.83 fouls per 90 and wins 0.62 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Jonny Otto?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Jonny Otto plays as a defender.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.