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SharpXI©
La Liga 24/25
MA

Matija Nastasić

Centre-back 97% of 30 recent starts LeganésLa Liga 24/25

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a La Liga centre-back, 25/26, 1,827 appearances

Bet line
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
Total shots0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
Fouls won0.44 per 90
20%
2 of 100.6×
Fouls committed0.44 per 90
40%
4 of 100.7×
Tackles1.00 per 90
60%
6 of 100.9×
0%
0 of 10
Cards0.11 per 90
10%
1 of 100.5×
Goals0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

Five selections from the player report, free in your inbox

Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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Over the last 10 La Liga games, Matija Nastasić has hit 1+ shot on target in 0% (0 of 10), 1+ total shot in 0%, 1+ foul committed in 40%, 1+ foul won in 20%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Recent matches

The last 10 games Matija Nastasić featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ Las Palmas18 May 78 0 0 1 2 1 0
Osasuna7 Apr 60 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ Real Madrid29 Mar 90 0 0 0 0 2 0
Real Betis16 Mar 90 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ Celta Vigo8 Mar 45 0 0 1 0 1 1
Getafe2 Mar 90 0 0 0 0 1 0
@ Real Sociedad23 Feb 90 0 0 0 0 2 0
Deportivo Alavés15 Feb 90 0 0 0 2 0 0
@ Valencia9 Feb 90 0 0 1 0 2 0
Rayo Vallecano31 Jan 90 0 0 1 0 0 0
Officials on record
Javier Alberola Rojas 5 games Matija Nastasić never booked 3.68cards/game 0.76×vs league
Isidro Diaz de Mera Escuderos 4 games Matija Nastasić booked in 1 5.31cards/game 1.09×vs league
José María Sánchez Martínez 4 games Matija Nastasić booked in 1 5.32cards/game 1.09×vs league
Francisco Hernandez Maeso 4 games Matija Nastasić never booked 4.26cards/game 0.88×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 7 current La Liga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All La Liga referees

Frequently asked

How often does Matija Nastasić have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 La Liga games, Matija Nastasić has hit 1+ shot on target in 0% (0 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Matija Nastasić average?

Across the last 10 La Liga games, Matija Nastasić is averaging 0.00 shots on target and 0.00 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Matija Nastasić get booked?

Matija Nastasić is averaging 0.11 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Matija Nastasić commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Matija Nastasić commits 0.44 fouls per 90 and wins 0.44 — an even split. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Matija Nastasić?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Matija Nastasić plays as a defender.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.