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La Liga 26/27
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Nathan-Dylan Saliba

Central midfielder 100% of 3 recent starts VillarrealLa Liga 26/27

Next match
Villarreal at Real Madrid›
Sat 10 OctReferee Isidro Diaz de Mera Escuderos

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 4 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 4 games

Compared with a La Liga central midfielder, 25/26, 2,700 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 4
3.75PPEdge
Total shots1.22 per 90
50%
2 of 41.2×
1.40MGMEdge
Fouls won1.22 per 90
100%Hot
4 of 41.9×
1.53PPEdge
Fouls committed0.91 per 90
75%Hot
3 of 41.3×
1.25PPEdge
Tackles3.65 per 90
75%Hot
3 of 41.1×
0%
0 of 4
Cards0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 4
3.10PPEdge
Goals0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 4
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 4
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Over the last 4 La Liga games, Nathan-Dylan Saliba has hit 1+ shot on target in 0% (0 of 4), 1+ total shot in 50%, 1+ foul committed in 75%, 1+ foul won in 100%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 4). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 4

Comparable central midfielders

The closest 5 profiles to Nathan-Dylan Saliba in La Liga, 26/27 — drawn from 29 central midfielders with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Nathan-Dylan SalibaVillarreal 41.22 0.91
Dani LorenzoMálaga CF 70.36 0.90
Jon Ander OlasagastiLevante UD 61.07 0.71
Edu ExpósitoEspanyol 82.39 0.84
Ilaix MoribaCelta Vigo 70.91 0.55
Unai LópezRayo Vallecano 70.81 1.46
These 5, combined 1.17 0.90

Recent matches

The last 4 games Nathan-Dylan Saliba featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
Levante UD20 Sep 90 0 3 1 1 5 0
@ Málaga CF17 Sep 80 0 0 1 1 2 0
Real Betis14 Sep 36 0 0 1 1 0 0
Deportivo de A Coruña5 Sep 90 0 1 0 1 5 0

Frequently asked

How often does Nathan-Dylan Saliba have a shot on target?

Over the last 4 La Liga games, Nathan-Dylan Saliba has hit 1+ shot on target in 0% (0 of 4). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Nathan-Dylan Saliba average?

Across the last 4 La Liga games, Nathan-Dylan Saliba is averaging 0.00 shots on target and 1.22 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Nathan-Dylan Saliba get booked?

Nathan-Dylan Saliba is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 4 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Nathan-Dylan Saliba commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 4 games Nathan-Dylan Saliba commits 0.91 fouls per 90 and wins 1.22 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Nathan-Dylan Saliba?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Nathan-Dylan Saliba plays as a midfielder.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.