Updated daily through the season. Spot something off? Tell usUpdated daily. Tell us
SharpXI©
La Liga 26/27
PA

Pau Navarro

Centre-back 60% of 30 recent starts VillarrealLa Liga 26/27

Next match
Villarreal at Real Madrid›
Sat 10 OctReferee Isidro Diaz de Mera Escuderos

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 43 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a La Liga centre-back, 25/26, 1,827 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.11 per 90
10%
1 of 100.9×
8.50PPEdge
Total shots0.11 per 90
10%
1 of 100.3×
3.30PPEdge
Fouls won0.11 per 90
10%
1 of 100.3×
2.25PPEdge
Fouls committed1.08 per 90
60%
6 of 101.1×
1.44PPEdge
Tackles1.40 per 90
70%
7 of 101.1×
10%
1 of 103.8×
Cards0.11 per 90
10%
1 of 100.5×
3.75bet365Edge
Goals0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

Five selections from the player report, free in your inbox

Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

Confirmed by a link. Unsubscribe in one click. Or open the player report.

Over the last 10 La Liga games, Pau Navarro has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10), 1+ total shot in 10%, 1+ foul committed in 60%, 1+ foul won in 10%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable centre-backs

The closest 5 profiles to Pau Navarro in La Liga, 26/27 — drawn from 23 centre-backs with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Pau NavarroVillarreal 30.00 1.04
Leandro CabreraEspanyol 50.40 1.40
Aymeric LaporteAthletic Club 60.37 0.56
Víctor ChustElche 70.57 0.57
Lucas NoubiDeportivo de A Coruña 50.00 1.20
Alejandro CatenaOsasuna 60.00 0.83
These 5, combined 0.28 0.88

Recent matches

The last 10 games Pau Navarro featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
Levante UD20 Sep 79 0 0 0 0 2 0
@ Málaga CF17 Sep 90 0 0 2 0 1 0
Real Betis14 Sep 90 0 0 1 0 2 0
Atlético Madrid24 May 90 0 0 0 1 2 0
Sevilla13 May 90 1 1 3 0 0 0
Levante UD2 May 81 0 0 0 0 2 0
@ Real Oviedo23 Apr 90 0 0 1 0 2 0
@ Athletic Club12 Apr 45 0 0 2 0 0 1
@ Girona FC6 Apr 90 0 0 1 0 0 0
Real Sociedad20 Mar 90 0 0 0 0 2 0
Officials on record
Isidro Diaz de Mera Escuderos 6 games Pau Navarro booked in 1 5.31cards/game 1.09×vs league
Alejandro Hernandez 4 games Pau Navarro booked in 1 5.91cards/game 1.22×vs league
Alejandro Quintero Gonzalez 4 games Pau Navarro booked in 1 4.80cards/game 0.99×vs league
Javier Alberola Rojas 3 games Pau Navarro never booked 3.68cards/game 0.76×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 8 current La Liga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All La Liga referees

Frequently asked

How often does Pau Navarro have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 La Liga games, Pau Navarro has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Pau Navarro average?

Across the last 10 La Liga games, Pau Navarro is averaging 0.11 shots on target and 0.11 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Pau Navarro get booked?

Pau Navarro is averaging 0.11 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Pau Navarro commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Pau Navarro commits 1.08 fouls per 90 and wins 0.11 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Pau Navarro?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Pau Navarro plays as a defender.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.