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La Liga 26/27
TO

Toni Martínez

Striker 100% of 30 recent starts Deportivo AlavésLa Liga 26/27

Next match
Deportivo Alavés vs Atlético Madrid›
Sat 10 OctReferee Alejandro Quintero Gonzalez

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a La Liga striker, 25/26, 1,664 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.53 per 90
30%
3 of 100.6×
1.44MGMEdge
Total shots2.52 per 90
80%Hot
8 of 101.1×
1.07PPEdge
Fouls won2.12 per 90
90%Hot
9 of 101.7×
1.36PPEdge
Fouls committed1.46 per 90
70%
7 of 101.4×
1.36PPEdge
Tackles0.80 per 90
60%
6 of 101.7×
14%
1 of 71.3×
Cards0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
6.50PPEdge
Goals0.40 per 90
30%
3 of 101.3×
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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Over the last 10 La Liga games, Toni Martínez has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% (3 of 10), 1+ total shot in 80%, 1+ foul committed in 70%, 1+ foul won in 90%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable strikers

The closest 5 profiles to Toni Martínez in La Liga, 26/27 — drawn from 13 strikers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Toni MartínezDeportivo Alavés 62.84 1.03
Ante BudimirOsasuna 73.23 1.79
Martín SatrianoGetafe 72.48 2.15
Mikel OyarzabalReal Sociedad 72.07 0.75
Fernando NiñoElche 72.11 0.77
Sergio CamelloRayo Vallecano 73.64 1.53
These 5, combined 2.70 1.42

No close match — the nearest profile sits well outside the usual range, so read these five as the closest available rather than as like-for-like.

Recent matches

The last 10 games Toni Martínez featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ Athletic Club19 Sep 25 0 0 2 1 0 0
Valencia15 Sep 67 0 3 0 3 1 0
@ Real Racing Club12 Sep 23 0 1 0 2 1 0
Villarreal30 Aug 54 0 0 1 2 0 0
@ Rayo Vallecano23 Aug 90 0 4 1 1 1 0
Getafe16 Aug 90 0 3 0 2 1 0
Rayo Vallecano23 May 90 2 3 1 2 1 0
@ Real Oviedo17 May 82 1 1 1 0 0 0
FC Barcelona13 May 90 0 2 4 1 1 0
@ Elche9 May 67 1 2 1 2 0 0
Officials on record
Victor Garcia Verdura 7 games Toni Martínez never booked 4.13cards/game 0.85×vs league
César Soto Grado 5 games Toni Martínez never booked 5.30cards/game 1.09×vs league
José Luis Munuera Montero 5 games Toni Martínez never booked 4.96cards/game 1.02×vs league
Miguel Angel Ortiz Arias 5 games Toni Martínez never booked 4.35cards/game 0.90×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 13 current La Liga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All La Liga referees

Frequently asked

How often does Toni Martínez have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 La Liga games, Toni Martínez has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% (3 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Toni Martínez average?

Across the last 10 La Liga games, Toni Martínez is averaging 0.53 shots on target and 2.52 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Toni Martínez get booked?

Toni Martínez is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Toni Martínez commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Toni Martínez commits 1.46 fouls per 90 and wins 2.12 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Toni Martínez?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Toni Martínez plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.