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La Liga referee · card profile
JO

Jose Luis Guzman Mansilla

La Liga referee · 17 matches on record · 22.0% conversion

Over his last 10 La Liga games, Jose Luis Guzman Mansilla has averaged 6.00 cards a match — 23% above the league average of 4.88. That splits 5.4 yellow and 0.6 red a game — a red in 4 of the 10. The away side sees more of them — 3.6 to 2.4 a game, a sharper split than the league's 0.2 gap. 5+ cards landed in 60% of them (6 of 10), and he turned 25.8% of fouls into bookings. He points to the spot at about the league's rate: 7 penalties in 17 matches, 0.41 a game against a league average of 0.32. These are raw match figures from games he took charge of, not odds.

Last games
max 17 on record

Match cards last 10 games

Bet line
MarketHit ratePer gameModel
These are Jose Luis Guzman Mansilla's own match figures — the raw card and foul counts in games he took charge of. They're not adjusted for how aggressive the two teams are or whether it's a derby. The model layers those in — the referee tendency, each player's booking rate and an opponent card-induction factor — to price a specific leg. That combined verdict is the locked price · edge.
last 10

Career profile

The two numbers that matter are vs league — the multiplier the model applies to a player's booking chance — and conversion, the share of fouls Jose Luis Guzman Mansilla turns into bookings. Conversion, not the raw foul count, is where a referee's real card tendency lives. Career figures across every La Liga season on record.

MeasureMansilla League avg
Cards / match5.59 4.88
vs league1.15× 1.00×
Foul-to-card conversion22.0% 19.2%
Fouls / match25.4 25.4
Penalties awarded / match0.41 0.32
Penalties awarded (total)7 in 17
Red cards shown7
Matches on record17 (17 in 25/26)

Recent matches

The last 8 La Liga games Jose Luis Guzman Mansilla took charge of — the actual card and foul counts a match-cards line settles on.

MatchScoreCardsYRPenFouls
Osasuna v Atlético Madrid12 May 1–2 11 10 1 1 27
Rayo Vallecano v Real Sociedad26 Apr 3–3 11 10 1 1 26
Athletic Club v Villarreal12 Apr 1–2 5 5 0 0 23
Osasuna v Girona FC21 Mar 1–0 3 3 0 0 25
Valencia v Deportivo Alavés8 Mar 3–2 7 5 2 2 26
Celta Vigo v Mallorca22 Feb 2–0 6 6 0 1 21
Real Sociedad v Elche7 Feb 3–1 4 4 0 0 22
Mallorca v Athletic Club17 Jan 3–2 7 5 2 2 20

Frequently asked

How many cards does Jose Luis Guzman Mansilla give per game?

Jose Luis Guzman Mansilla averages 5.59 cards a game across 17 La Liga matches — 15% above the league average of 4.88. When he's appointed, the model multiplies every player's booking chance by 1.15.

Is Jose Luis Guzman Mansilla a strict referee?

Yes. The honest measure is foul-to-card conversion — the share of fouls he turns into bookings — and Jose Luis Guzman Mansilla runs at 22.0% against a league average of 19.2%. Foul counts barely vary between officials; the rate at which a foul becomes a booking is where referees genuinely differ.

Does Jose Luis Guzman Mansilla's record change bet builder card prices?

It should. The referee is the single biggest factor in the to-be-carded market, and the appointment is public before kick-off — so a strict official on a combative player is the archetypal card edge. The player cards guide walks through exactly how the model turns a tendency like this into a price.

How reliable is Jose Luis Guzman Mansilla's card rate?

It rests on 17 career matches, a solid record. The model shrinks a referee's tendency toward the league average when the sample is thin and discounts its own confidence for officials with young records, so a number like this never gets trusted beyond what the evidence earns.

Rates shown are figures from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, an opponent factor and de-vigging, and discounts its confidence for thin referee records, before flagging any card as value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.