La Liga · 25/26

Celta Vigo v Mallorca

How the SharpXI model rated this La Liga fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Celta Vigo2 – 0 Mallorca 22 Feb 2026

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 11 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Williot Swedberg	fouls drawn	1+	93%	0	✗
Ferran Jutglà	shots total	1+	92%	1	✓
Vedat Muriqi	shots total	1+	92%	0	✗
Pablo Durán	shots total	1+	91%	2	✓
Borja Iglesias	shots total	1+	91%	2	✓
Iago Aspas	shots total	1+	91%	3	✓
Williot Swedberg	shots total	1+	91%	1	✓
Ilaix Moriba	fouls drawn	1+	89%	1	✓
Samú Costa	fouls drawn	1+	89%	4	✓
Fer López	fouls drawn	1+	88%	1	✓
Samú Costa	fouls committed	1+	87%	1	✓
Williot Swedberg	fouls committed	1+	86%	1	✓
Fer López	shots total	1+	80%	1	✓
Vedat Muriqi	fouls drawn	1+	79%	0	✗

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Match goals	O2.5	50%	2 goals	✗
Btts	Yes	50%	No	✗
Match cards	O4.5	34%	6 cards	✓

Dig deeper

Celta Vigo & Mallorca player stats→ Celta Vigo players & stats→ Mallorca players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works