La Liga · 25/26

Mallorca v Celta Vigo

How the SharpXI model rated this La Liga fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Mallorca1 – 1 Celta Vigo 23 Aug 2025

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 8 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Abdón Prats	fouls drawn	1+	93%	0	✗
Iago Aspas	shots total	1+	92%	0	✗
Ferran Jutglà	shots total	1+	91%	0	✗
Pablo Durán	shots total	1+	91%	0	✗
Ilaix Moriba	fouls drawn	1+	89%	3	✓
Williot Swedberg	fouls drawn	1+	89%	1	✓
Pablo Torre	fouls drawn	1+	88%	1	✓
Dani Rodríguez	fouls committed	1+	87%	0	✗
Mateo Joseph	fouls drawn	1+	86%	1	✓
Williot Swedberg	fouls committed	1+	83%	2	✓
Williot Swedberg	shots total	1+	80%	1	✓
Abdón Prats	shots total	1+	80%	0	✗
Takuma Asano	shots total	1+	80%	1	✓
Ilaix Moriba	shots total	1+	80%	3	✓

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Btts	Yes	45%	Yes	✓
Match cards	O4.5	43%	6 cards	✓
Match goals	O2.5	38%	2 goals	✗

Dig deeper

Mallorca & Celta Vigo player stats→ Mallorca players & stats→ Celta Vigo players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works