La Liga · 25/26

Mallorca v Athletic Club

How the SharpXI model rated this La Liga fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Mallorca3 – 2 Athletic Club 17 Jan 2026

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 13 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Gorka Guruzeta	shots total	1+	98%	2	✓
Vedat Muriqi	shots total	1+	91%	7	✓
Iñaki Williams	shots total	1+	91%	1	✓
Nico Williams	shots total	1+	91%	5	✓
Oihan Sancet	shots total	1+	91%	2	✓
Vedat Muriqi	fouls drawn	1+	89%	1	✓
Samú Costa	fouls drawn	1+	89%	2	✓
Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta	fouls drawn	1+	88%	0	✗
Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta	fouls committed	1+	87%	1	✓
Samú Costa	fouls committed	1+	83%	3	✓
Unai Gómez	shots total	1+	80%	2	✓
Álex Berenguer	shots total	1+	80%	1	✓
Álex Berenguer	fouls drawn	1+	79%	1	✓
Mikel Jauregizar	fouls drawn	1+	78%	3	✓

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Btts	Yes	43%	Yes	✓
Match goals	O2.5	37%	5 goals	✓
Match cards	O4.5	34%	7 cards	✓

Dig deeper

Mallorca & Athletic Club player stats→ Mallorca players & stats→ Athletic Club players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works