Premier League · 26/27
Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip
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Chelsea v Aston Villa
The SharpXI model's read on Chelsea vs Aston Villa — modelled probabilities for the player and team markets that matter in the bet builder, ranked by confidence.
See the full player stats boardPlayer markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin.
| Player | Market | Line | Model |
|---|
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model |
|---|---|---|
| Match goals | O2.5 | 54% |
| Btts | Yes | 54% |
| Match cards | O4.5 | 50% |
Dig deeper
Chelsea & Aston Villa player stats→
Chelsea players & stats→
Aston Villa players & stats→
Shots on target model→
To be carded model→
Guide: bet builder value→
Past meetings
- Aston Villa None–None Chelsea Feb 2027
- Aston Villa 1–4 Chelsea Mar 2026
- Chelsea 1–2 Aston Villa Dec 2025
- Aston Villa 2–1 Chelsea Feb 2025
- Chelsea 3–0 Aston Villa Dec 2024
- Aston Villa 2–2 Chelsea Apr 2024
- Chelsea 0–1 Aston Villa Sep 2023
- Chelsea 0–2 Aston Villa Apr 2023
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.