Sheffield United v Newcastle
How the SharpXI model rated this Premier League fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 13 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bruno Guimarães | fouls drawn | 1+ | 100% | 2 | ✓ |
| Callum Wilson | shots on target | 1+ | 100% | 5 | ✓ |
| Miguel Almirón | shots total | 1+ | 100% | 3 | ✓ |
| Callum Wilson | shots total | 1+ | 100% | 5 | ✓ |
| Alexander Isak | shots total | 1+ | 100% | 1 | ✓ |
| Anthony Gordon | shots total | 1+ | 100% | 4 | ✓ |
| Sean Longstaff | shots total | 1+ | 88% | 2 | ✓ |
| Fabian Schär | shots total | 1+ | 88% | 1 | ✓ |
| Elliot Anderson | shots total | 1+ | 88% | 2 | ✓ |
| Anthony Gordon | fouls drawn | 1+ | 85% | 2 | ✓ |
| Bruno Guimarães | shots total | 1+ | 83% | 1 | ✓ |
| Sandro Tonali | shots total | 1+ | 83% | 0 | ✗ |
| Tom Davies | fouls committed | 1+ | 81% | 1 | ✓ |
| Alexander Isak | shots on target | 1+ | 80% | 1 | ✓ |
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match goals | O2.5 | 69% | 8 goals | ✓ |
| Match cards | O4.5 | 63% | 4 cards | ✗ |
| Btts | Yes | 39% | No | ✗ |
Dig deeper
Past meetings
- Newcastle 5–1 Sheffield United Apr 2024
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.