Sporting CP v Sporting Braga
How the SharpXI model rated this Primeira Liga fixture — every call it made on shots, set against what actually happened on the day.
Before Sporting CP drew with Sporting Braga 1–1, the SharpXI model made 14 confident calls on the player markets and 10 landed — the strongest being Pedro Gonçalves for 1+ shots total (98%, had 2). Its clearest miss: Francisco Trincão for 1+ shots total (96%, had 0). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pedro Gonçalves | shots total | 1+ | 98% | 2 | ✓ |
| Luis Javier Suárez | shots total | 1+ | 98% | 2 | ✓ |
| Francisco Trincão | shots total | 1+ | 96% | 0 | ✗ |
| Alisson Santos | shots total | 1+ | 86% | 3 | ✓ |
| Rodrigo Zalazar | shots total | 1+ | 82% | 5 | ✓ |
| Pau Víctor | shots total | 1+ | 76% | 0 | ✗ |
| Luis Javier Suárez | shots on target | 1+ | 75% | 1 | ✓ |
| Pedro Gonçalves | shots on target | 1+ | 73% | 1 | ✓ |
| Ricardo Horta | shots total | 1+ | 63% | 2 | ✓ |
| Geovany Quenda | shots total | 1+ | 63% | 1 | ✓ |
| Francisco Trincão | shots on target | 1+ | 59% | 0 | ✗ |
| Fran Navarro | shots total | 1+ | 58% | 0 | ✗ |
| Giorgi Kochorashvili | shots total | 1+ | 54% | 3 | ✓ |
| Hidemasa Morita | shots total | 1+ | 54% | 1 | ✓ |
How these are modelled: Shots total Shots on target
Dig deeper
Past meetings
- Sporting Braga 1–3 Sporting CP Oct 2026
- Sporting Braga 2–2 Sporting CP Mar 2026
- Sporting CP 1–1 Sporting Braga Apr 2025
- Sporting Braga 2–4 Sporting CP Nov 2024
- Sporting CP 5–0 Sporting Braga Feb 2024
- Sporting Braga 1–1 Sporting CP Sep 2023
- Sporting CP 5–0 Sporting Braga Feb 2023
- Sporting Braga 3–3 Sporting CP Aug 2022
Frequently asked
How did the SharpXI model do on Sporting CP v Sporting Braga?
10 of its 14 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.
What did the model get wrong on Sporting CP v Sporting Braga?
The most confident call it got wrong was Francisco Trincão at 96% for shots total — shown in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross. A record that hides its misses isn't a record, so we don't.
Are these probabilities hindsight?
No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.
Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the Primeira Liga?
No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.