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SharpXI©
Primeira Liga 26/27
AG

Agustín Moreira

Forward Gil VicentePrimeira Liga 26/27

Next match
Gil Vicente at Sporting Braga›
Mon 19 Oct
Last games
max 23 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Primeira Liga forward, 25/26, 2,890 appearances

Bet line
Odds
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.51 per 90
30%
3 of 100.8×
3.50bet365Edge
Total shots1.19 per 90
50%
5 of 100.8×
1.57bet365Edge
Fouls won2.04 per 90
60%
6 of 101.0×
Fouls committed1.19 per 90
50%
5 of 101.0×
Tackles0.85 per 90
30%
3 of 100.7×
0%
0 of 0
Cards0.34 per 90
20%
2 of 101.7×
Goals0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Over the last 10 Primeira Liga games, Agustín Moreira has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% (3 of 10), 1+ total shot in 50%, 1+ foul committed in 50%, 1+ foul won in 60%, and been booked in 20% (2 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Recent matches

The last 10 games Agustín Moreira featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ Benfica13 Sep 56 0 0 0 2 0 0
Casa Pia24 Aug 11 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ Sporting CP16 May 45 0 1 0 0 2 0
FC Arouca11 May 45 0 0 1 0 0 1
@ Rio Ave3 May 45 0 2 0 1 1 0
Casa Pia27 Apr 29 1 2 1 0 0 0
Vitória SC18 Apr 63 1 1 1 1 0 0
@ Tondela13 Apr 74 1 1 3 2 0 0
AVS - Futebol SAD3 Apr 76 0 0 0 3 0 0
@ Santa Clara21 Mar 85 0 0 1 3 2 1
Officials on record
Joao Antonio Ferreira Goncalves 4 games Agustín Moreira never booked 5.15cards/game 1.00×vs league
Claudio Filipe Ruivo Pereira 3 games Agustín Moreira booked in 1 4.63cards/game 0.90×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 2 current Primeira Liga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Primeira Liga referees

Frequently asked

How often does Agustín Moreira have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Primeira Liga games, Agustín Moreira has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% (3 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Agustín Moreira average?

Across the last 10 Primeira Liga games, Agustín Moreira is averaging 0.51 shots on target and 1.19 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Agustín Moreira get booked?

Agustín Moreira is averaging 0.34 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Agustín Moreira commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Agustín Moreira commits 1.19 fouls per 90 and wins 2.04 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Agustín Moreira?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Agustín Moreira plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.