Fouls won (drawn) — the market for players who get fouled
Fouls won — the free kicks a player earns — is the mirror of fouls committed. Dribblers and hold-up forwards win fouls at high rates the market often lags.
How SharpXI models it
We model the player's recency-weighted fouls-won rate with shrinkage and minutes scaling, adjusted by how often the opposition commits fouls, through a Negative Binomial for P(fouls won ≥ line). Fouls won are quoted one side only, so the margin cannot be removed from the price and stays in the comparison.
Go deeper: How we model fouls won
Where the value tends to sit
A skilful dribbler against a foul-prone defence is the classic fouls-won edge — the same match-up that drives fouls committed, seen from the other side.
Primeira Liga leaders this season
In the 26/27 Primeira Liga season, Chiquinho (FC Alverca) leads for fouls won at 4.43 per 90, ahead of Gianluca Prestianni (3.40) and Mathias De Amorim (3.18). Rates are per 90 minutes, minimum 450 played, from completed matches.
Per-90 rates across the league (26/27 season, minimum 450 minutes) — the players whose underlying numbers drive this market.
| Player | Team | Per 90 | 1+ hit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chiquinho | FC Alverca | 4.43 | 100% |
| Gianluca Prestianni | Benfica | 3.40 | 100% |
| Mathias De Amorim | Famalicão | 3.18 | 88% |
| Martín Tejón | Marítimo | 2.83 | 88% |
| Vinícius Lopes | Santa Clara | 2.72 | 100% |
| Jalen Blesa | Rio Ave | 2.72 | 100% |
| João Guilherme | Académico Viseu FC | 2.60 | 100% |
| Sorriso | Famalicão | 2.57 | 88% |
| Geny Catamo | Sporting CP | 2.40 | 88% |
| Maximiliano Araújo | Sporting CP | 2.25 | 86% |
| Tamás Nikitscher | Rio Ave | 2.07 | 100% |
| Rafa Silva | Benfica | 2.07 | 88% |
Frequently asked
What's the difference between fouls won and fouls committed?
Fouls won are the free kicks a player earns by being fouled; fouls committed are the ones they concede. They're separate markets with separate models.
Which players win the most fouls?
Typically low-centre-of-gravity dribblers and forwards who hold the ball up. The SharpXI market page lists the current Primeira Liga leaders.
SharpXI is a statistical tool, not a betting operator, and no model guarantees a result. The honest scoreboard is closing-line value over a large sample. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.