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SharpXI©
Primeira Liga 22/23
BA

Bastien Toma

Midfielder Paços de FerreiraPrimeira Liga 22/23

Last games
max 12 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Primeira Liga midfielder, 25/26, 2,874 appearances

Bet line
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.23 per 90
10%
1 of 100.5×
Total shots2.07 per 90
50%
5 of 101.1×
Fouls won1.15 per 90
50%
5 of 100.9×
Fouls committed1.84 per 90
60%
6 of 101.1×
Tackles1.38 per 90
40%
4 of 100.6×
0%
0 of 0
Cards0.23 per 90
10%
1 of 100.6×
Goals0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Picked from 304 selections across 78 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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Over the last 10 Primeira Liga games, Bastien Toma has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10), 1+ total shot in 50%, 1+ foul committed in 60%, 1+ foul won in 50%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Recent matches

The last 10 games Bastien Toma featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
Sporting Braga21 Jan 12 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ Rio Ave14 Jan 23 0 0 0 1 0 0
Chaves8 Jan 10 0 0 1 0 1 0
@ Sporting CP29 Dec 10 0 0 0 0 0 0
Vizela13 Nov 58 0 2 1 1 0 0
@ FC Porto5 Nov 45 0 2 3 1 0 0
Marítimo28 Oct 45 0 2 1 0 1 0
@ Famalicão22 Oct 86 0 1 1 1 3 1
Vitória SC8 Oct 90 1 2 1 1 1 0
@ Santa Clara17 Sep 13 0 0 0 0 0 0

Frequently asked

How often does Bastien Toma have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Primeira Liga games, Bastien Toma has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Bastien Toma average?

Across the last 10 Primeira Liga games, Bastien Toma is averaging 0.23 shots on target and 2.07 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Bastien Toma get booked?

Bastien Toma is averaging 0.23 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Bastien Toma commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Bastien Toma commits 1.84 fouls per 90 and wins 1.15 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Bastien Toma?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Bastien Toma plays as a midfielder.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.