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Primeira Liga 24/25
DA

Darío Poveda

Forward SC FarensePrimeira Liga 24/25

Last games
max 22 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Primeira Liga forward, 25/26, 2,890 appearances

Bet line
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.50 per 90
20%
2 of 100.5×
Total shots1.50 per 90
40%
4 of 100.6×
Fouls won1.00 per 90
40%
4 of 100.7×
Fouls committed1.00 per 90
40%
4 of 100.8×
Tackles1.00 per 90
30%
3 of 100.7×
0%
0 of 0
Cards0.50 per 90
20%
2 of 101.7×
Goals0.50 per 90
20%
2 of 101.4×
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Picked from 304 selections across 78 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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Over the last 10 Primeira Liga games, Darío Poveda has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10), 1+ total shot in 40%, 1+ foul committed in 40%, 1+ foul won in 40%, and been booked in 20% (2 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Recent matches

The last 10 games Darío Poveda featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
Santa Clara17 May 66 0 0 1 1 0 0
@ Vitória SC11 May 15 1 1 0 0 0 1
Famalicão3 May 11 1 1 1 0 0 0
Boavista18 Apr 16 0 0 0 1 0 0
Sporting Braga15 Mar 13 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ Sporting CP2 Feb 14 0 0 0 0 0 0
Rio Ave25 Jan 27 0 3 0 0 1 0
@ Moreirense19 Jan 68 0 0 1 1 0 0
Vitória SC29 Dec 59 0 1 0 0 2 0
@ Famalicão21 Dec 71 0 0 1 1 1 1
Officials on record
Claudio Filipe Ruivo Pereira 3 games Darío Poveda never booked 4.63cards/game 0.90×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 1 current Primeira Liga official — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Primeira Liga referees

Frequently asked

How often does Darío Poveda have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Primeira Liga games, Darío Poveda has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Darío Poveda average?

Across the last 10 Primeira Liga games, Darío Poveda is averaging 0.50 shots on target and 1.50 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Darío Poveda get booked?

Darío Poveda is averaging 0.50 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Darío Poveda commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Darío Poveda commits 1.00 fouls per 90 and wins 1.00 — an even split. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Darío Poveda?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Darío Poveda plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.