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Primeira Liga 23/24
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Hélio Varela

Midfielder PortimonensePrimeira Liga 23/24

Last games
max 35 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Primeira Liga midfielder, 25/26, 2,874 appearances

Bet line
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.93 per 90
70%
7 of 103.8×
Total shots2.57 per 90
100%Hot
10 of 102.2×
Fouls won1.96 per 90
90%Hot
9 of 101.7×
Fouls committed0.62 per 90
60%
6 of 101.1×
Tackles1.13 per 90
80%Hot
8 of 101.3×
0%
0 of 0
Cards0.21 per 90
20%
2 of 101.2×
Goals0.10 per 90
10%
1 of 101.6×
form only
Assists0.21 per 90
20%
2 of 103.4×
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Picked from 304 selections across 78 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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Over the last 10 Primeira Liga games, Hélio Varela has hit 1+ shot on target in 70% (7 of 10), 1+ total shot in 100%, 1+ foul committed in 60%, 1+ foul won in 90%, and been booked in 20% (2 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Recent matches

The last 10 games Hélio Varela featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ AVS - Futebol SAD2 Jun 90 1 3 1 1 0 0
AVS - Futebol SAD25 May 90 1 3 1 4 0 1
@ SC Farense18 May 66 2 2 0 1 2 0
Rio Ave11 May 90 1 2 0 1 2 0
@ Sporting CP4 May 90 0 1 0 0 2 1
Moreirense28 Apr 88 1 2 0 2 1 0
@ Famalicão21 Apr 90 1 3 1 2 1 0
Casa Pia14 Apr 90 0 2 1 1 1 0
@ Chaves7 Apr 90 0 3 1 3 1 0
Sporting Braga1 Apr 90 2 4 1 4 1 0
Officials on record
Luís Godinho 4 games Hélio Varela booked in 1 5.39cards/game 1.04×vs league
Joao Pedro Pinheiro 4 games Hélio Varela never booked 4.89cards/game 0.95×vs league
Claudio Filipe Ruivo Pereira 3 games Hélio Varela never booked 4.63cards/game 0.90×vs league
Fabio Jose Costa Verissimo 3 games Hélio Varela never booked 5.60cards/game 1.08×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 4 current Primeira Liga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Primeira Liga referees

Frequently asked

How often does Hélio Varela have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Primeira Liga games, Hélio Varela has hit 1+ shot on target in 70% (7 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Hélio Varela average?

Across the last 10 Primeira Liga games, Hélio Varela is averaging 0.93 shots on target and 2.57 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Hélio Varela get booked?

Hélio Varela is averaging 0.21 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Hélio Varela commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Hélio Varela commits 0.62 fouls per 90 and wins 1.96 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Hélio Varela?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Hélio Varela plays as a midfielder.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.