Updated daily through the season. Spot something off? Tell usUpdated daily. Tell us
SharpXI©
Primeira Liga 23/24
LU

Luan

Forward PortimonensePrimeira Liga 23/24

Last games
max 18 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Primeira Liga forward, 25/26, 2,890 appearances

Bet line
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.54 per 90
20%
2 of 100.5×
Total shots1.63 per 90
40%
4 of 100.6×
Fouls won0.82 per 90
20%
2 of 100.3×
Fouls committed1.09 per 90
30%
3 of 100.6×
Tackles1.63 per 90
60%
6 of 101.4×
0%
0 of 0
Cards0.27 per 90
10%
1 of 100.8×
Goals0.27 per 90
10%
1 of 100.7×
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

Five selections from the player report, free in your inbox

Picked from 304 selections across 78 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

Confirmed by a link. Unsubscribe in one click. Or open the player report.

Over the last 10 Primeira Liga games, Luan has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10), 1+ total shot in 40%, 1+ foul committed in 30%, 1+ foul won in 20%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Recent matches

The last 10 games Luan featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ AVS - Futebol SAD2 Jun 22 0 0 0 1 0 0
AVS - Futebol SAD25 May 18 0 1 0 0 0 0
@ SC Farense18 May 24 0 0 0 0 1 0
Rio Ave11 May 58 1 2 0 2 1 0
@ Sporting CP4 May 73 0 0 1 0 1 0
Moreirense28 Apr 81 0 0 2 0 1 1
@ Famalicão21 Apr 15 0 1 1 0 0 0
@ Boavista28 Jan 9 1 2 0 0 1 0
Gil Vicente21 Jan 22 0 0 0 0 0 0
SC Farense12 Jan 9 0 0 0 0 1 0
Officials on record
Luís Godinho 4 games Luan never booked 5.39cards/game 1.04×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 1 current Primeira Liga official — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Primeira Liga referees

Frequently asked

How often does Luan have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Primeira Liga games, Luan has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Luan average?

Across the last 10 Primeira Liga games, Luan is averaging 0.54 shots on target and 1.63 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Luan get booked?

Luan is averaging 0.27 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Luan commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Luan commits 1.09 fouls per 90 and wins 0.82 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Luan?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Luan plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.