What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Primeira Liga forward, 25/26, 2,890 appearances
Five selections from the player report, free in your inbox
Picked from 328 selections across 79 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.
Confirmed by a link. Unsubscribe in one click. Or open the player report.
Over the last 10 Primeira Liga games, Marcus Edwards has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10), 1+ total shot in 50%, 1+ foul committed in 10%, 1+ foul won in 20%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Recent matches
The last 10 games Marcus Edwards featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santa Clara30 Nov | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| CF Estrela Amadora1 Nov | 17 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ FC Arouca13 Sep | 16 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ SC Farense23 Aug | 18 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ CD Nacional17 Aug | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Rio Ave9 Aug | 14 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Chaves18 May | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ FC Porto28 Apr | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Vitória SC21 Apr | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Gil Vicente12 Apr | 29 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 6 current Primeira Liga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Primeira Liga referees
Frequently asked
How often does Marcus Edwards have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Primeira Liga games, Marcus Edwards has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Marcus Edwards average?
Across the last 10 Primeira Liga games, Marcus Edwards is averaging 0.50 shots on target and 3.00 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Marcus Edwards get booked?
Marcus Edwards is averaging 0.50 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Marcus Edwards commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Marcus Edwards commits 0.50 fouls per 90 and wins 1.50 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Marcus Edwards?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Marcus Edwards plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.