Updated daily through the season. Spot something off? Tell usUpdated daily. Tell us
SharpXI©
Primeira Liga 26/27
SA

Santiago Serra

Midfielder CF Estrela AmadoraPrimeira Liga 26/27

Next match
CF Estrela Amadora vs Casa Pia›
Sat 24 Oct
Last games
max 5 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 5 games

Compared with a Primeira Liga midfielder, 25/26, 2,874 appearances

Bet line
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.49 per 90
40%
2 of 52.2×
Total shots1.23 per 90
40%
2 of 50.9×
Fouls won1.48 per 90
80%Hot
4 of 51.5×
Fouls committed1.23 per 90
40%
2 of 50.7×
Tackles1.73 per 90
80%Hot
4 of 51.3×
0%
0 of 0
Cards0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 5
Goals0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 5
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 5
form only
No bookmaker prices for this fixture yet. Player markets are usually priced closer to kickoff, and not every fixture carries every market. The hit rates and match-up above are complete either way.
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

Five selections from the player report, free in your inbox

Picked from 298 selections across 77 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

Confirmed by a link. Unsubscribe in one click. Or open the player report.

Over the last 5 Primeira Liga games, Santiago Serra has hit 1+ shot on target in 40% (2 of 5), 1+ total shot in 40%, 1+ foul committed in 40%, 1+ foul won in 80%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 5). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 5

Recent matches

The last 5 games Santiago Serra featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ FC Arouca11 Oct 89 1 3 0 0 2 0
Académico Viseu FC20 Sep 64 1 2 0 1 0 0
@ Rio Ave14 Sep 72 0 0 0 1 3 0
Sporting Braga10 Sep 75 0 0 3 3 1 0
Sporting CP8 Aug 65 0 0 2 1 1 0

Frequently asked

How often does Santiago Serra have a shot on target?

Over the last 5 Primeira Liga games, Santiago Serra has hit 1+ shot on target in 40% (2 of 5). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Santiago Serra average?

Across the last 5 Primeira Liga games, Santiago Serra is averaging 0.49 shots on target and 1.23 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Santiago Serra get booked?

Santiago Serra is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 5 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Santiago Serra commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 5 games Santiago Serra commits 1.23 fouls per 90 and wins 1.48 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Santiago Serra?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Santiago Serra plays as a midfielder.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.