Gustavo Correia
Over the last 10 Primeira Liga games Gustavo Correia has officiated, the average is 5.10 cards a match — in line with the league average of 5.17. That splits 4.5 yellow and 0.6 red a game — a red in 6 of the 10. The away side sees more cards — 3.0 to 2.1 a game, a sharper split than the league's 0.2 gap. 5+ cards landed in 60% of those games (6 of 10), from a 20.4% foul-to-booking rate. These are raw match figures from those games, not odds.
Match cards last 10 games
Career profile
The two numbers that matter are vs league — the multiplier the model applies to a player's booking chance — and conversion, the share of fouls Gustavo Correia turns into bookings. Conversion, not the raw foul count, is where a referee's real card tendency lives. Career figures across every Primeira Liga season on record.
| Measure | Correia | League avg |
|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 5.97 | 5.17 |
| vs league | 1.15× | 1.00× |
| Foul-to-card conversion | 20.9% | 19.0% |
| Fouls / match | 28.5 | 27.2 |
| Red cards shown | 28 | — |
| Matches on record | 63 (5 in 26/27) | — |
Recent matches
The last 8 Primeira Liga games Gustavo Correia took charge of — the actual card and foul counts a match-cards line settles on.
| Match | Score | Cards | Y | R | Fouls |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CD Nacional v Famalicão19 Sep | 0–4 | 6 1 red | 5 | 1 | 21 |
| Rio Ave v CF Estrela Amadora14 Sep | 3–3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 28 |
| Vitória SC v Casa Pia6 Sep | 0–0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 22 |
| FC Arouca v Marítimo29 Aug | 2–1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 17 |
| Gil Vicente v Rio Ave9 Aug | 1–0 | 5 1 red | 4 | 1 | 23 |
| Sporting Braga v CF Estrela Amadora16 May | 2–2 | 6 1 red | 5 | 1 | 22 |
| Famalicão v Benfica2 May | 2–2 | 6 1 red | 5 | 1 | 34 |
| Famalicão v Moreirense10 Apr | 1–1 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 30 |
● a red card in that match
Frequently asked
How many cards does Gustavo Correia give per game?
Gustavo Correia averages 5.97 cards a game across 63 Primeira Liga matches — 15% above the league average of 5.17. On a Gustavo Correia appointment, the model multiplies every player's booking chance by 1.15.
Is Gustavo Correia a strict referee?
Slightly, yes. The honest measure is foul-to-card conversion — the share of fouls that become bookings — and Gustavo Correia runs at 20.9% against a league average of 19.0%. Foul counts barely vary between officials; the rate at which a foul becomes a booking is where referees genuinely differ.
Does Gustavo Correia's record change bet builder card prices?
It should. The referee is the single biggest factor in the to-be-carded market, and the appointment is public before kick-off — so a strict official on a combative player is the archetypal card edge. The player cards guide walks through exactly how the model turns a tendency like this into a price.
How reliable is Gustavo Correia's card rate?
It rests on 63 career matches, a solid record. The model shrinks a referee's tendency toward the league average when the sample is thin and discounts its own confidence for officials with young records, so a number like this never gets trusted beyond what the evidence earns.
Rates shown are figures from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage and an opponent factor, and discounts its confidence for thin referee records, before flagging any card as value. It compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — card markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.