Celtic v Dundee FC
How the SharpXI model rated this Scottish Premiership fixture — every call it made on shots, set against what actually happened on the day.
Before Celtic beat Dundee FC 1–0, the SharpXI model made 13 confident calls on the player markets and 12 landed — the strongest being Benjamin Nygren for 1+ shots total (96%, had 3). Its clearest miss: Simon Murray for 1+ shots total (69%, had 0). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.
See the full player stats boardPlayer markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Nygren | shots total | 1+ | 96% | 3 | ✓ |
| Yang Hyun-Jun | shots total | 1+ | 89% | 3 | ✓ |
| Arne Engels | shots total | 1+ | 82% | 1 | ✓ |
| Callum McGregor | shots total | 1+ | 81% | 2 | ✓ |
| Benjamin Nygren | shots on target | 1+ | 73% | 1 | ✓ |
| Joe Bevan | shots total | 1+ | 72% | 2 | ✓ |
| Charlie Reilly | shots total | 1+ | 69% | 1 | ✓ |
| Joe Westley | shots total | 1+ | 69% | 1 | ✓ |
| Simon Murray | shots total | 1+ | 69% | 0 | ✗ |
| Ashley Hay | shots total | 1+ | 69% | 1 | ✓ |
| Kieran Tierney | shots total | 1+ | 62% | 2 | ✓ |
| Ethan Hamilton | shots total | 1+ | 62% | 2 | ✓ |
| Yang Hyun-Jun | shots on target | 1+ | 54% | 1 | ✓ |
| Cameron Carter-Vickers | shots total | 1+ | 49% | 1 | ✓ |
How these are modelled: Shots total Shots on target
Dig deeper
Past meetings
- Dundee FC 1–2 Celtic Apr 2026
- Celtic 1–0 Dundee FC Dec 2025
- Dundee FC 2–0 Celtic Oct 2025
- Celtic 6–0 Dundee FC Feb 2025
- Dundee FC 3–3 Celtic Jan 2025
- Celtic 2–0 Dundee FC Oct 2024
- Dundee FC 1–2 Celtic Apr 2024
- Celtic 7–1 Dundee FC Feb 2024
Frequently asked
How did the SharpXI model do on Celtic v Dundee FC?
12 of its 13 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.
What did the model get wrong on Celtic v Dundee FC?
The most confident call it got wrong was Simon Murray at 69% for shots total — shown in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross. A record that hides its misses isn't a record, so we don't.
Are these probabilities hindsight?
No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.
Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the Scottish Premiership?
No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.