Celtic v St. Johnstone
How the SharpXI model rated this Scottish Premiership fixture — every call it made on shots, set against what actually happened on the day.
Before Celtic beat St. Johnstone 4–0, the SharpXI model made 14 confident calls on the player markets and 10 landed — the strongest being Kyogo Furuhashi for 1+ shots total (96%, had 5). Its clearest miss: Adam Idah for 1+ shots on target (89%, had 0). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reo Hatate | shots total | 1+ | 96% | 1 | ✓ |
| Kyogo Furuhashi | shots total | 1+ | 96% | 5 | ✓ |
| Adam Idah | shots total | 1+ | 96% | 1 | ✓ |
| Arne Engels | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 5 | ✓ |
| Nicolas-Gerrit Kühn | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 3 | ✓ |
| Kyogo Furuhashi | shots on target | 1+ | 89% | 3 | ✓ |
| Adam Idah | shots on target | 1+ | 89% | 0 | ✗ |
| Yang Hyun-Jun | shots total | 1+ | 89% | 0 | ✗ |
| Daizen Maeda | shots total | 1+ | 87% | 2 | ✓ |
| Adama Sidibeh | shots total | 1+ | 82% | 0 | ✗ |
| Callum McGregor | shots total | 1+ | 81% | 2 | ✓ |
| Paulo Bernardo | shots total | 1+ | 81% | 4 | ✓ |
| Makenzie Kirk | shots total | 1+ | 69% | 0 | ✗ |
| Nicolas-Gerrit Kühn | shots on target | 1+ | 63% | 2 | ✓ |
How these are modelled: Shots total Shots on target
Dig deeper
Past meetings
- St. Johnstone 0–1 Celtic Sep 2026
- St. Johnstone 1–0 Celtic Apr 2025
- St. Johnstone 0–6 Celtic Sep 2024
- Celtic 3–1 St. Johnstone Mar 2024
- St. Johnstone 1–3 Celtic Dec 2023
- Celtic 0–0 St. Johnstone Aug 2023
- St. Johnstone 1–4 Celtic Feb 2023
- Celtic 4–1 St. Johnstone Dec 2022
Frequently asked
How did the SharpXI model do on Celtic v St. Johnstone?
10 of its 14 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.
What did the model get wrong on Celtic v St. Johnstone?
The most confident call it got wrong was Adam Idah at 89% for shots on target — shown in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross. A record that hides its misses isn't a record, so we don't.
Are these probabilities hindsight?
No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.
Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the Scottish Premiership?
No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.