Celtic v St. Mirren
How the SharpXI model rated this Scottish Premiership fixture — every call it made on shots, set against what actually happened on the day.
Before Celtic beat St. Mirren 1–0, the SharpXI model made 14 confident calls on the player markets and 9 landed — the strongest being Kelechi Iheanacho for 1+ shots total (94%, had 1). Its clearest miss: Daizen Maeda for 1+ shots total (84%, had 0). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tomáš Čvančara | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 1 | ✓ |
| Benjamin Nygren | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 1 | ✓ |
| Kelechi Iheanacho | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 1 | ✓ |
| Daizen Maeda | shots total | 1+ | 84% | 0 | ✗ |
| Yang Hyun-Jun | shots total | 1+ | 82% | 0 | ✗ |
| Jonah Ayunga | shots total | 1+ | 81% | 1 | ✓ |
| Mikael Mandron | shots total | 1+ | 72% | 1 | ✓ |
| Arne Engels | shots total | 1+ | 72% | 0 | ✗ |
| Callum McGregor | shots total | 1+ | 69% | 3 | ✓ |
| Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain | shots total | 1+ | 69% | 1 | ✓ |
| Tomáš Čvančara | shots on target | 1+ | 63% | 1 | ✓ |
| Kelechi Iheanacho | shots on target | 1+ | 63% | 0 | ✗ |
| Benjamin Nygren | shots on target | 1+ | 63% | 1 | ✓ |
| Kieran Tierney | shots total | 1+ | 62% | 0 | ✗ |
How these are modelled: Shots total Shots on target
Dig deeper
Past meetings
- St. Mirren 1–2 Celtic Sep 2026
- St. Mirren 0–1 Celtic Nov 2025
- Celtic 1–0 St. Mirren Aug 2025
- Celtic 1–1 St. Mirren May 2025
- St. Mirren 2–5 Celtic Mar 2025
- Celtic 3–0 St. Mirren Jan 2025
- St. Mirren 0–3 Celtic Aug 2024
- Celtic 3–2 St. Mirren May 2024
Frequently asked
How did the SharpXI model do on Celtic v St. Mirren?
9 of its 14 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.
What did the model get wrong on Celtic v St. Mirren?
The most confident call it got wrong was Daizen Maeda at 84% for shots total — shown in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross. A record that hides its misses isn't a record, so we don't.
Are these probabilities hindsight?
No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.
Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the Scottish Premiership?
No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.