Scottish Premiership 26/27

Dundee FC v Hibernian

How the SharpXI model rated this Scottish Premiership fixture — every call it made on shots, set against what actually happened on the day.

Dundee FC1 – 2 Hibernian 30 Aug 2026

11~~/14~~

of the model's most-confident calls landed. Every one was published before kick-off and priced the same way as every other fixture. A single game is noise, not a verdict — the season-long record is on the track record.

Before Dundee FC lost to Hibernian 1–2, the SharpXI model made 14 confident calls on the player markets and 11 landed — the strongest being Nathan Lowe for 1+ shots total (94%, had 2). Its clearest miss: Nathan Lowe for 1+ shots on target (73%, had 0). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Nathan Lowe	shots total	1+	94%	2	✓
Martin Boyle	shots total	1+	90%	7	✓
Joe Westley	shots total	1+	89%	2	✓
Joe Bevan	shots total	1+	89%	1	✓
Jamie McGrath	shots total	1+	87%	5	✓
Alan Forrest	shots total	1+	87%	1	✓
Charlie Reilly	shots total	1+	82%	2	✓
Josh Mulligan	shots total	1+	82%	4	✓
Callum Wright	shots total	1+	81%	4	✓
Nathan Lowe	shots on target	1+	73%	0	✗
Ethan Hamilton	shots total	1+	72%	3	✓
Ryan Finnigan	shots total	1+	69%	0	✗
Felix Passlack	shots total	1+	62%	2	✓
Jacob Devaney	shots total	1+	62%	0	✗

How these are modelled: Shots total Shots on target

Dig deeper

Dundee FC & Hibernian player stats→ Dundee FC players & stats→ Hibernian players & stats→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

Frequently asked

How did the SharpXI model do on Dundee FC v Hibernian?

11 of its 14 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.

What did the model get wrong on Dundee FC v Hibernian?

The most confident call it got wrong was Nathan Lowe at 73% for shots on target — shown in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross. A record that hides its misses isn't a record, so we don't.

Are these probabilities hindsight?

No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.

Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the Scottish Premiership?

No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works