Dundee FC v Motherwell
How the SharpXI model rated this Scottish Premiership fixture — every call it made on shots, set against what actually happened on the day.
Before Dundee FC beat Motherwell 2–1, the SharpXI model made 14 confident calls on the player markets and 10 landed — the strongest being Tawanda Maswanhise for 1+ shots total (96%, had 2). Its clearest miss: Joe Bevan for 1+ shots total (89%, had 0). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.
See the full player stats boardPlayer markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Lowry | shots total | 1+ | 96% | 2 | ✓ |
| Tawanda Maswanhise | shots total | 1+ | 96% | 2 | ✓ |
| Sebastian Palmer-Houlden | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 1 | ✓ |
| Joe Westley | shots total | 1+ | 89% | 3 | ✓ |
| Joe Bevan | shots total | 1+ | 89% | 0 | ✗ |
| Emmanuel Longelo | shots total | 1+ | 82% | 1 | ✓ |
| Ibrahim Said | shots total | 1+ | 82% | 0 | ✗ |
| Alan Forrest | shots total | 1+ | 82% | 1 | ✓ |
| Ethan Hamilton | shots total | 1+ | 79% | 0 | ✗ |
| Alex Lowry | shots on target | 1+ | 73% | 1 | ✓ |
| Tawanda Maswanhise | shots on target | 1+ | 73% | 0 | ✗ |
| Lukas Fadinger | shots total | 1+ | 72% | 1 | ✓ |
| Joe Hodge | shots total | 1+ | 72% | 2 | ✓ |
| Jack Moorhouse | shots total | 1+ | 69% | 3 | ✓ |
How these are modelled: Shots total Shots on target
Dig deeper
Past meetings
- Dundee FC 2–1 Motherwell Mar 2026
- Motherwell 1–0 Dundee FC Dec 2025
- Dundee FC 1–1 Motherwell Sep 2025
- Dundee FC 1–2 Motherwell May 2025
- Motherwell 2–1 Dundee FC Feb 2025
- Dundee FC 4–1 Motherwell Dec 2024
- Motherwell 0–1 Dundee FC Oct 2024
- Dundee FC 2–3 Motherwell Apr 2024
Frequently asked
How did the SharpXI model do on Dundee FC v Motherwell?
10 of its 14 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.
What did the model get wrong on Dundee FC v Motherwell?
The most confident call it got wrong was Joe Bevan at 89% for shots total — shown in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross. A record that hides its misses isn't a record, so we don't.
Are these probabilities hindsight?
No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.
Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the Scottish Premiership?
No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.