Dundee United v St. Mirren
How the SharpXI model rated this Scottish Premiership fixture — every call it made on shots, set against what actually happened on the day.
Before Dundee United beat St. Mirren 2–1, the SharpXI model made 14 confident calls on the player markets and 11 landed — the strongest being Dan N'Lundulu for 1+ shots total (96%, had 1). Its clearest miss: Zachary Sapsford for 1+ shots total (89%, had 0). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan N'Lundulu | shots total | 1+ | 96% | 1 | ✓ |
| Jake Young | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 1 | ✓ |
| Zachary Sapsford | shots total | 1+ | 89% | 0 | ✗ |
| Max Watters | shots total | 1+ | 89% | 1 | ✓ |
| Amar Fatah | shots total | 1+ | 89% | 3 | ✓ |
| Roland Idowu | shots total | 1+ | 87% | 0 | ✗ |
| Neil Farrugia | shots total | 1+ | 82% | 0 | ✗ |
| Keanu Baccus | shots total | 1+ | 82% | 1 | ✓ |
| Mark O'Hara | shots total | 1+ | 81% | 1 | ✓ |
| Killian Phillips | shots total | 1+ | 78% | 3 | ✓ |
| Panutche Camará | shots total | 1+ | 69% | 2 | ✓ |
| Emmanuel Agyei | shots total | 1+ | 69% | 3 | ✓ |
| Jake Young | shots on target | 1+ | 63% | 1 | ✓ |
| Dan N'Lundulu | shots on target | 1+ | 63% | 1 | ✓ |
How these are modelled: Shots total Shots on target
Dig deeper
Past meetings
- St. Mirren 0–3 Dundee United Sep 2026
- St. Mirren 1–1 Dundee United May 2026
- St. Mirren 2–0 Dundee United Dec 2025
- Dundee United 3–1 St. Mirren Oct 2025
- Dundee United 0–2 St. Mirren May 2025
- St. Mirren 0–1 Dundee United Jan 2025
- Dundee United 2–0 St. Mirren Nov 2024
- St. Mirren 0–1 Dundee United Oct 2024
Frequently asked
How did the SharpXI model do on Dundee United v St. Mirren?
11 of its 14 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.
What did the model get wrong on Dundee United v St. Mirren?
The most confident call it got wrong was Zachary Sapsford at 89% for shots total — shown in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross. A record that hides its misses isn't a record, so we don't.
Are these probabilities hindsight?
No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.
Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the Scottish Premiership?
No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.