Heart of Midlothian v Dundee United
How the SharpXI model rated this Scottish Premiership fixture — every call it made on shots, set against what actually happened on the day.
Before Heart of Midlothian beat Dundee United 4–0, the SharpXI model made 14 confident calls on the player markets and 8 landed — the strongest being Cláudio Braga for 1+ shots total (96%, had 5). Its clearest miss: Pierre Landry Kaboré for 1+ shots total (96%, had 0). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.
See the full player stats boardPlayer markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sabah Kerjota | shots total | 1+ | 96% | 1 | ✓ |
| Cláudio Braga | shots total | 1+ | 96% | 5 | ✓ |
| Pierre Landry Kaboré | shots total | 1+ | 96% | 0 | ✗ |
| Calvin Miller | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 2 | ✓ |
| Amadou Ba-Sy | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 1 | ✓ |
| Zachary Sapsford | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 1 | ✓ |
| Josh McPake | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 1 | ✓ |
| Blair Spittal | shots total | 1+ | 89% | 0 | ✗ |
| Jesse Randall | shots total | 1+ | 89% | 0 | ✗ |
| Lachlan Rose | shots total | 1+ | 89% | 3 | ✓ |
| Daniel Bennie | shots total | 1+ | 89% | 1 | ✓ |
| Idjessi Metsoko | shots total | 1+ | 89% | 0 | ✗ |
| Tomas Magnusson | shots total | 1+ | 82% | 0 | ✗ |
| Emmanuel Agyei | shots total | 1+ | 78% | 0 | ✗ |
How these are modelled: Shots total
Dig deeper
Past meetings
- Dundee United 0–3 Heart of Midlothian Jan 2026
- Heart of Midlothian 1–1 Dundee United Nov 2025
- Dundee United 2–3 Heart of Midlothian Aug 2025
- Heart of Midlothian 0–1 Dundee United Apr 2025
- Dundee United 0–1 Heart of Midlothian Jan 2025
- Heart of Midlothian 0–1 Dundee United Sep 2024
- Heart of Midlothian 3–1 Dundee United Feb 2023
- Dundee United 2–2 Heart of Midlothian Dec 2022
Frequently asked
How did the SharpXI model do on Heart of Midlothian v Dundee United?
8 of its 14 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.
What did the model get wrong on Heart of Midlothian v Dundee United?
The most confident call it got wrong was Pierre Landry Kaboré at 96% for shots total — shown in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross. A record that hides its misses isn't a record, so we don't.
Are these probabilities hindsight?
No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.
Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the Scottish Premiership?
No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.