Heart of Midlothian v Hibernian
How the SharpXI model rated this Scottish Premiership fixture — every call it made on shots, set against what actually happened on the day.
Before Heart of Midlothian beat Hibernian 1–0, the SharpXI model made 14 confident calls on the player markets and 8 landed — the strongest being Cláudio Braga for 1+ shots total (94%, had 1). Its clearest miss: Dane Scarlett for 1+ shots total (89%, had 0). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cláudio Braga | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 1 | ✓ |
| Dane Scarlett | shots total | 1+ | 89% | 0 | ✗ |
| Alexandros Kyziridis | shots total | 1+ | 89% | 1 | ✓ |
| Pierre Landry Kaboré | shots total | 1+ | 89% | 3 | ✓ |
| Martin Boyle | shots total | 1+ | 89% | 2 | ✓ |
| Ante Šuto | shots total | 1+ | 89% | 1 | ✓ |
| Jamie McGrath | shots total | 1+ | 81% | 0 | ✗ |
| Nicky Cadden | shots total | 1+ | 78% | 1 | ✓ |
| Cláudio Braga | shots on target | 1+ | 63% | 0 | ✗ |
| Pierre Landry Kaboré | shots on target | 1+ | 63% | 0 | ✗ |
| Marc Leonard | shots total | 1+ | 62% | 1 | ✓ |
| Kai Andrews | shots total | 1+ | 62% | 0 | ✗ |
| Miguel Changa Chaiwa | shots total | 1+ | 62% | 1 | ✓ |
| Daniel Barlaser | shots total | 1+ | 62% | 0 | ✗ |
How these are modelled: Shots total Shots on target
Dig deeper
Past meetings
- Hibernian 1–3 Heart of Midlothian Sep 2026
- Hibernian 1–2 Heart of Midlothian Apr 2026
- Hibernian 3–2 Heart of Midlothian Dec 2025
- Heart of Midlothian 1–0 Hibernian Oct 2025
- Hibernian 2–1 Heart of Midlothian Mar 2025
- Heart of Midlothian 1–2 Hibernian Dec 2024
- Hibernian 1–1 Heart of Midlothian Oct 2024
- Heart of Midlothian 1–1 Hibernian Feb 2024
Frequently asked
How did the SharpXI model do on Heart of Midlothian v Hibernian?
8 of its 14 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.
What did the model get wrong on Heart of Midlothian v Hibernian?
The most confident call it got wrong was Dane Scarlett at 89% for shots total — shown in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross. A record that hides its misses isn't a record, so we don't.
Are these probabilities hindsight?
No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.
Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the Scottish Premiership?
No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.