Hibernian v St. Johnstone
How the SharpXI model rated this Scottish Premiership fixture — every call it made on shots, set against what actually happened on the day.
Before Hibernian beat St. Johnstone 3–0, the SharpXI model made 14 confident calls on the player markets and 8 landed — the strongest being Mykola Kukharevych for 1+ shots total (96%, had 6). Its clearest miss: Makenzie Kirk for 1+ shots total (89%, had 0). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mykola Kukharevych | shots total | 1+ | 96% | 6 | ✓ |
| Kieron Bowie | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 2 | ✓ |
| Junior Hoilett | shots total | 1+ | 89% | 1 | ✓ |
| Makenzie Kirk | shots total | 1+ | 89% | 0 | ✗ |
| Martin Boyle | shots total | 1+ | 89% | 2 | ✓ |
| Taylor Steven | shots total | 1+ | 89% | 0 | ✗ |
| Graham Carey | shots total | 1+ | 89% | 1 | ✓ |
| Víctor Griffith | shots total | 1+ | 87% | 0 | ✗ |
| Jonathan Svedberg | shots total | 1+ | 82% | 0 | ✗ |
| Stephen Duke-McKenna | shots total | 1+ | 82% | 0 | ✗ |
| Mykola Kukharevych | shots on target | 1+ | 73% | 1 | ✓ |
| Benjamin Mbunga-Kimpioka | shots total | 1+ | 72% | 0 | ✗ |
| Dylan Levitt | shots total | 1+ | 69% | 1 | ✓ |
| Nectarios Triantis | shots total | 1+ | 69% | 1 | ✓ |
How these are modelled: Shots total Shots on target
Dig deeper
Past meetings
- St. Johnstone 2–1 Hibernian Sep 2026
- St. Johnstone 1–1 Hibernian Jan 2025
- Hibernian 2–0 St. Johnstone Sep 2024
- St. Johnstone 1–3 Hibernian Apr 2024
- Hibernian 1–2 St. Johnstone Apr 2024
- St. Johnstone 1–0 Hibernian Dec 2023
- Hibernian 2–0 St. Johnstone Sep 2023
- St. Johnstone 1–1 Hibernian Apr 2023
Frequently asked
How did the SharpXI model do on Hibernian v St. Johnstone?
8 of its 14 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.
What did the model get wrong on Hibernian v St. Johnstone?
The most confident call it got wrong was Makenzie Kirk at 89% for shots total — shown in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross. A record that hides its misses isn't a record, so we don't.
Are these probabilities hindsight?
No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.
Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the Scottish Premiership?
No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.