Motherwell v Hibernian
How the SharpXI model rated this Scottish Premiership fixture — every call it made on shots, set against what actually happened on the day.
Before Motherwell drew with Hibernian 0–0, the SharpXI model made 14 confident calls on the player markets and 7 landed — the strongest being Callum Slattery for 1+ shots total (94%, had 1). Its clearest miss: Dane Scarlett for 1+ shots total (94%, had 0). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tawanda Maswanhise | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 1 | ✓ |
| Callum Slattery | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 1 | ✓ |
| Dane Scarlett | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 0 | ✗ |
| Owen Elding | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 0 | ✗ |
| Ante Šuto | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 1 | ✓ |
| Martin Boyle | shots total | 1+ | 90% | 1 | ✓ |
| Elijah Just | shots total | 1+ | 89% | 0 | ✗ |
| Ibrahim Said | shots total | 1+ | 82% | 2 | ✓ |
| Jamie McGrath | shots total | 1+ | 82% | 3 | ✓ |
| Tawanda Maswanhise | shots on target | 1+ | 73% | 1 | ✓ |
| Nicky Cadden | shots total | 1+ | 69% | 0 | ✗ |
| Ante Šuto | shots on target | 1+ | 67% | 0 | ✗ |
| Owen Elding | shots on target | 1+ | 63% | 0 | ✗ |
| Callum Slattery | shots on target | 1+ | 63% | 0 | ✗ |
How these are modelled: Shots total Shots on target
Dig deeper
Past meetings
- Hibernian 1–2 Motherwell Aug 2026
- Hibernian 0–1 Motherwell May 2026
- Hibernian 1–1 Motherwell Jan 2026
- Motherwell 2–0 Hibernian Nov 2025
- Hibernian 3–1 Motherwell Jan 2025
- Motherwell 0–3 Hibernian Nov 2024
- Hibernian 1–2 Motherwell Oct 2024
- Hibernian 3–0 Motherwell May 2024
Frequently asked
How did the SharpXI model do on Motherwell v Hibernian?
7 of its 14 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.
What did the model get wrong on Motherwell v Hibernian?
The most confident call it got wrong was Dane Scarlett at 94% for shots total — shown in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross. A record that hides its misses isn't a record, so we don't.
Are these probabilities hindsight?
No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.
Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the Scottish Premiership?
No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.