Rangers v Dundee FC
How the SharpXI model rated this Scottish Premiership fixture — every call it made on shots, set against what actually happened on the day.
Before Rangers beat Dundee FC 3–0, the SharpXI model made 14 confident calls on the player markets and 12 landed — the strongest being Djeidi Gassama for 1+ shots total (96%, had 2). Its clearest miss: Ashley Hay for 1+ shots total (81%, had 0). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Djeidi Gassama | shots total | 1+ | 96% | 2 | ✓ |
| Mikey Moore | shots total | 1+ | 96% | 3 | ✓ |
| Thelo Aasgaard | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 2 | ✓ |
| Nicolas Raskin | shots total | 1+ | 89% | 2 | ✓ |
| Bojan Miovski | shots total | 1+ | 89% | 1 | ✓ |
| Mohammed Diomande | shots total | 1+ | 89% | 2 | ✓ |
| James Tavernier | shots total | 1+ | 82% | 3 | ✓ |
| Ashley Hay | shots total | 1+ | 81% | 0 | ✗ |
| Mikey Moore | shots on target | 1+ | 73% | 1 | ✓ |
| Yan Dhanda | shots total | 1+ | 72% | 0 | ✗ |
| Emmanuel Fernandez | shots total | 1+ | 69% | 1 | ✓ |
| Ethan Hamilton | shots total | 1+ | 69% | 1 | ✓ |
| Djeidi Gassama | shots on target | 1+ | 67% | 1 | ✓ |
| Thelo Aasgaard | shots on target | 1+ | 63% | 1 | ✓ |
How these are modelled: Shots total Shots on target
Dig deeper
Past meetings
- Dundee FC 0–3 Rangers Nov 2025
- Rangers 1–1 Dundee FC Aug 2025
- Dundee FC 3–4 Rangers Mar 2025
- Dundee FC 1–1 Rangers Jan 2025
- Rangers 1–0 Dundee FC Dec 2024
- Rangers 5–2 Dundee FC May 2024
- Dundee FC 0–0 Rangers Apr 2024
- Rangers 3–1 Dundee FC Dec 2023
Frequently asked
How did the SharpXI model do on Rangers v Dundee FC?
12 of its 14 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.
What did the model get wrong on Rangers v Dundee FC?
The most confident call it got wrong was Ashley Hay at 81% for shots total — shown in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross. A record that hides its misses isn't a record, so we don't.
Are these probabilities hindsight?
No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.
Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the Scottish Premiership?
No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.