Alan James Muir
Alan James Muir has not taken charge of a Scottish Premiership match in 26/27. The figures below are a career record. Over the last 10 Scottish Premiership games Alan James Muir has officiated, the average is 3.80 cards a match — 5% below the league average of 4.02. That splits 3.7 yellow and 0.1 red a game — a red in 1 of the 10. The away side sees more cards — 2.3 to 1.5 a game, a sharper split than the league's 0.3 gap. 5+ cards landed in 20% of those games (2 of 10), from a 16.7% foul-to-booking rate. These are raw match figures from those games, not odds.
Match cards last 10 games
Career profile
The two numbers that matter are vs league — the multiplier the model applies to a player's booking chance — and conversion, the share of fouls Alan James Muir turns into bookings. Conversion, not the raw foul count, is where a referee's real card tendency lives. Career figures across every Scottish Premiership season on record.
| Measure | Muir | League avg |
|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 3.42 | 4.02 |
| vs league | 0.85× | 1.00× |
| Foul-to-card conversion | 13.6% | 17.7% |
| Fouls / match | 25.2 | 22.7 |
| Red cards shown | 3 | — |
| Matches on record | 24 (0 in 26/27) | — |
Recent matches
The last 8 Scottish Premiership games Alan James Muir took charge of — the actual card and foul counts a match-cards line settles on.
| Match | Score | Cards | Y | R | Fouls |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heart of Midlothian v Motherwell2 Jan | 1–0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 18 |
| Aberdeen v Livingston15 May | 5–1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 31 |
| St. Mirren v Heart of Midlothian6 Apr | 1–2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 19 |
| Rangers v Motherwell2 Mar | 1–2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 19 |
| Rangers v Ross County14 Feb | 3–1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 22 |
| Heart of Midlothian v Ross County30 Dec | 2–2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 28 |
| Rangers v St. Johnstone20 Dec | 2–0 | 5 1 red | 4 | 1 | 18 |
| Dundee FC v Livingston5 Nov | 1–0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 28 |
● a red card in that match
Frequently asked
How many cards does Alan James Muir give per game?
Alan James Muir averages 3.42 cards a game across 24 Scottish Premiership matches — 15% below the league average of 4.02. On an Alan James Muir appointment, the model multiplies every player's booking chance by 0.85.
Is Alan James Muir a strict referee?
No — more lenient than most. The honest measure is foul-to-card conversion — the share of fouls that become bookings — and Alan James Muir runs at 13.6% against a league average of 17.7%. Foul counts barely vary between officials; the rate at which a foul becomes a booking is where referees genuinely differ.
Does Alan James Muir's record change bet builder card prices?
It should. The referee is the single biggest factor in the to-be-carded market, and the appointment is public before kick-off — so a strict official on a combative player is the archetypal card edge. The player cards guide walks through exactly how the model turns a tendency like this into a price.
How reliable is Alan James Muir's card rate?
It rests on 24 career matches, a solid record. The model shrinks a referee's tendency toward the league average when the sample is thin and discounts its own confidence for officials with young records, so a number like this never gets trusted beyond what the evidence earns.
Rates shown are figures from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage and an opponent factor, and discounts its confidence for thin referee records, before flagging any card as value. It compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — card markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.