Aberdeen v Livingston
How the SharpXI model rated this Scottish Premiership fixture — every call it made on shots, set against what actually happened on the day.
Before Aberdeen beat Livingston 6–2, the SharpXI model made 14 confident calls on the player markets and 10 landed — the strongest being Robbie Muirhead for 1+ shots total (96%, had 1). Its clearest miss: Joshua Zimmerman for 1+ shots total (94%, had 0). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robbie Muirhead | shots total | 1+ | 96% | 1 | ✓ |
| Joshua Zimmerman | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 0 | ✗ |
| Lewis Smith | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 1 | ✓ |
| Kevin Nisbet | shots total | 1+ | 89% | 3 | ✓ |
| Nicolas Milanović | shots total | 1+ | 89% | 1 | ✓ |
| Connor McLennan | shots total | 1+ | 89% | 3 | ✓ |
| Lyall Cameron | shots total | 1+ | 89% | 1 | ✓ |
| Topi Keskinen | shots total | 1+ | 89% | 4 | ✓ |
| Stevie May | shots total | 1+ | 87% | 1 | ✓ |
| Robbie Muirhead | shots on target | 1+ | 73% | 1 | ✓ |
| Kenan Bilalovic | shots total | 1+ | 72% | 3 | ✓ |
| Stuart Armstrong | shots total | 1+ | 72% | 0 | ✗ |
| Emmanuel Danso | shots total | 1+ | 72% | 0 | ✗ |
| Joshua Zimmerman | shots on target | 1+ | 63% | 0 | ✗ |
How these are modelled: Shots total Shots on target
Dig deeper
Past meetings
- Livingston 2–2 Aberdeen May 2026
- Livingston 0–1 Aberdeen Nov 2025
- Aberdeen 0–0 Livingston Sep 2025
- Aberdeen 5–1 Livingston May 2024
- Livingston 0–0 Aberdeen Apr 2024
- Aberdeen 2–1 Livingston Dec 2023
- Livingston 0–0 Aberdeen Aug 2023
- Aberdeen 1–0 Livingston Feb 2023
Frequently asked
How did the SharpXI model do on Aberdeen v Livingston?
10 of its 14 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.
What did the model get wrong on Aberdeen v Livingston?
The most confident call it got wrong was Joshua Zimmerman at 94% for shots total — shown in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross. A record that hides its misses isn't a record, so we don't.
Are these probabilities hindsight?
No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.
Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the Scottish Premiership?
No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.