Ross Hardie
Over the last 10 Scottish Premiership games Ross Hardie has officiated, the average is 5.30 cards a match — 32% above the league average of 4.02. That splits 5.1 yellow and 0.2 red a game — a red in 1 of the 10. The away side sees more cards — 2.7 to 2.6 a game, flatter than the league's 0.3 gap. 5+ cards landed in 70% of those games (7 of 10), from a 21.4% foul-to-booking rate. These are raw match figures from those games, not odds.
Match cards last 10 games
Career profile
The two numbers that matter are vs league — the multiplier the model applies to a player's booking chance — and conversion, the share of fouls Ross Hardie turns into bookings. Conversion, not the raw foul count, is where a referee's real card tendency lives. Career figures across every Scottish Premiership season on record.
| Measure | Hardie | League avg |
|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 4.69 | 4.02 |
| vs league | 1.17× | 1.00× |
| Foul-to-card conversion | 21.1% | 17.7% |
| Fouls / match | 22.2 | 22.7 |
| Red cards shown | 5 | — |
| Matches on record | 29 (1 in 26/27) | — |
Recent matches
The last 8 Scottish Premiership games Ross Hardie took charge of — the actual card and foul counts a match-cards line settles on.
| Match | Score | Cards | Y | R | Fouls |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Mirren v St. Johnstone8 Aug | 1–0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 19 |
| Kilmarnock v Dundee FC11 Apr | 2–2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 31 |
| Falkirk FC v St. Mirren21 Mar | 1–2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 29 |
| Dundee FC v Hibernian28 Feb | 3–3 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 17 |
| Aberdeen v Livingston24 Jan | 6–2 | 8 2 red | 6 | 2 | 29 |
| Aberdeen v Kilmarnock14 Dec | 2–1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 24 |
| Rangers v Livingston22 Nov | 2–1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 28 |
| Falkirk FC v Dundee FC25 Oct | 2–1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 23 |
● a red card in that match
Frequently asked
How many cards does Ross Hardie give per game?
Ross Hardie averages 4.69 cards a game across 29 Scottish Premiership matches — 17% above the league average of 4.02. On a Ross Hardie appointment, the model multiplies every player's booking chance by 1.17.
Is Ross Hardie a strict referee?
Yes. The honest measure is foul-to-card conversion — the share of fouls that become bookings — and Ross Hardie runs at 21.1% against a league average of 17.7%. Foul counts barely vary between officials; the rate at which a foul becomes a booking is where referees genuinely differ.
Does Ross Hardie's record change bet builder card prices?
It should. The referee is the single biggest factor in the to-be-carded market, and the appointment is public before kick-off — so a strict official on a combative player is the archetypal card edge. The player cards guide walks through exactly how the model turns a tendency like this into a price.
How reliable is Ross Hardie's card rate?
It rests on 29 career matches, a solid record. The model shrinks a referee's tendency toward the league average when the sample is thin and discounts its own confidence for officials with young records, so a number like this never gets trusted beyond what the evidence earns.
Rates shown are figures from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage and an opponent factor, and discounts its confidence for thin referee records, before flagging any card as value. It compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — card markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.