Rangers v Livingston
How the SharpXI model rated this Scottish Premiership fixture — every call it made on shots, set against what actually happened on the day.
Before Rangers beat Livingston 2–1, the SharpXI model made 14 confident calls on the player markets and 5 landed — the strongest being Djeidi Gassama for 1+ shots total (94%, had 2). Its clearest miss: Danilo Pereira for 1+ shots total (96%, had 0). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danilo Pereira | shots total | 1+ | 96% | 0 | ✗ |
| Djeidi Gassama | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 2 | ✓ |
| Thelo Aasgaard | shots total | 1+ | 89% | 0 | ✗ |
| Oliver Antman | shots total | 1+ | 89% | 0 | ✗ |
| Nedim Bajrami | shots total | 1+ | 89% | 0 | ✗ |
| Nicolas Raskin | shots total | 1+ | 82% | 1 | ✓ |
| Bojan Miovski | shots total | 1+ | 82% | 1 | ✓ |
| Stevie May | shots total | 1+ | 81% | 0 | ✗ |
| James Tavernier | shots total | 1+ | 81% | 0 | ✗ |
| Mohammed Diomande | shots total | 1+ | 81% | 2 | ✓ |
| Danilo Pereira | shots on target | 1+ | 73% | 0 | ✗ |
| Tete Yengi | shots total | 1+ | 69% | 4 | ✓ |
| Oliver Antman | shots on target | 1+ | 63% | 0 | ✗ |
| Nedim Bajrami | shots on target | 1+ | 54% | 0 | ✗ |
How these are modelled: Shots total Shots on target
Dig deeper
Past meetings
- Livingston 2–2 Rangers Feb 2026
- Livingston 1–2 Rangers Sep 2025
- Rangers 3–0 Livingston Feb 2024
- Livingston 0–2 Rangers Nov 2023
- Rangers 4–0 Livingston Aug 2023
- Livingston 0–3 Rangers Feb 2023
- Rangers 1–1 Livingston Oct 2022
- Livingston 1–2 Rangers Jul 2022
Frequently asked
How did the SharpXI model do on Rangers v Livingston?
5 of its 14 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.
What did the model get wrong on Rangers v Livingston?
The most confident call it got wrong was Danilo Pereira at 96% for shots total — shown in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross. A record that hides its misses isn't a record, so we don't.
Are these probabilities hindsight?
No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.
Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the Scottish Premiership?
No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.