Steven McLean
Over the last 10 Scottish Premiership games Steven McLean has officiated, the average is 3.50 cards a match — 13% below the league average of 4.02. That splits 3.1 yellow and 0.4 red a game — a red in 4 of the 10. The away side sees more cards — 2.2 to 1.3 a game, a sharper split than the league's 0.3 gap. 5+ cards landed in 20% of those games (2 of 10), from a 14.7% foul-to-booking rate. These are raw match figures from those games, not odds.
Match cards last 10 games
Career profile
The two numbers that matter are vs league — the multiplier the model applies to a player's booking chance — and conversion, the share of fouls Steven McLean turns into bookings. Conversion, not the raw foul count, is where a referee's real card tendency lives. Career figures across every Scottish Premiership season on record.
| Measure | McLean | League avg |
|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 3.38 | 4.02 |
| vs league | 0.84× | 1.00× |
| Foul-to-card conversion | 15.9% | 17.7% |
| Fouls / match | 21.3 | 22.7 |
| Red cards shown | 13 | — |
| Matches on record | 68 (1 in 26/27) | — |
Recent matches
The last 8 Scottish Premiership games Steven McLean took charge of — the actual card and foul counts a match-cards line settles on.
| Match | Score | Cards | Y | R | Fouls |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hibernian v Motherwell2 Aug | 1–2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 27 |
| St. Mirren v Dundee United17 May | 1–1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 20 |
| Motherwell v Heart of Midlothian9 May | 1–1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 23 |
| Dundee FC v St. Mirren2 May | 1–0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 21 |
| Dundee FC v Celtic5 Apr | 1–2 | 3 1 red | 2 | 1 | 20 |
| St. Mirren v Rangers15 Mar | 0–1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 18 |
| Aberdeen v Dundee FC21 Feb | 2–3 | 6 1 red | 5 | 1 | 23 |
| Motherwell v Rangers11 Feb | 1–1 | 8 1 red | 7 | 1 | 35 |
● a red card in that match
Frequently asked
How many cards does Steven McLean give per game?
Steven McLean averages 3.38 cards a game across 68 Scottish Premiership matches — 16% below the league average of 4.02. On a Steven McLean appointment, the model multiplies every player's booking chance by 0.84.
Is Steven McLean a strict referee?
No — slightly more lenient than most. The honest measure is foul-to-card conversion — the share of fouls that become bookings — and Steven McLean runs at 15.9% against a league average of 17.7%. Foul counts barely vary between officials; the rate at which a foul becomes a booking is where referees genuinely differ.
Does Steven McLean's record change bet builder card prices?
It should. The referee is the single biggest factor in the to-be-carded market, and the appointment is public before kick-off — so a strict official on a combative player is the archetypal card edge. The player cards guide walks through exactly how the model turns a tendency like this into a price.
How reliable is Steven McLean's card rate?
It rests on 68 career matches, a solid record. The model shrinks a referee's tendency toward the league average when the sample is thin and discounts its own confidence for officials with young records, so a number like this never gets trusted beyond what the evidence earns.
Rates shown are figures from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage and an opponent factor, and discounts its confidence for thin referee records, before flagging any card as value. It compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — card markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.