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SharpXI©
Scottish Premiership 26/27

Motherwell v Heart of Midlothian

The SharpXI model's read on Motherwell v Heart of Midlothian — modelled probabilities for the player markets that matter in the bet builder, ranked by confidence.

Match officials

Not appointed yet — referees are usually confirmed two to three days before kick-off. See the referee panel

In-form players

Going into Motherwell v Heart of Midlothian on Sun 25 Oct: Alex Lowry (Motherwell) leads the home side for 1+ shots on target — 7 of 10 (70%); Josh McPake (Heart of Midlothian) tops the visitors on 7 of 10 (70%). Raw hit rates from recent matches, not odds.

The season so far

By our count of finished 26/27 results: Motherwell are 9th with 8 points from 8 (2 won, 2 drawn, 4 lost, 9 scored, 13 conceded), last five W L L L L; Heart of Midlothian are 3rd with 16 points from 8 (5 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost, 19 scored, 8 conceded), last five W W L D W.

See the full player stats boardBoth likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Not priced yet

The model prices player markets once the lineup is known — usually about an hour before kick-off. Until then the pre-match player stats board above carries every player's hit rate for this fixture, from completed matches.

Team & match markets

Dig deeper

Motherwell & Heart of Midlothian player stats→ Motherwell players & stats→ Heart of Midlothian players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

Frequently asked

What is this Motherwell v Heart of Midlothian page?

The model's read on the fixture: a modelled probability for each of the player and match markets that matter in a bet builder, ranked by how confident the model is. Once the game has been played, this same page shows what actually happened next to every call.

Is this a tip?

Graded in public, wins and losses alike. A probability is not advice and there is no price attached here — whether a market is worth backing depends on what the bookmaker is charging for it, which is the question the SharpXI tool answers rather than this page.

Where do the numbers come from?

Public match data for the teams and players involved, run through the same model used across the site — recent form shrunk toward the league average, adjusted for the opponent and the referee. The modelling guides explain each market in detail.

How accurate has the model been in the Scottish Premiership?

Every finished fixture on this site carries its own report card, and the season-long record for each market — the ones that beat a naive guess and the ones that don't — is on the track record page.

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works