Serie A · 25/26

AC Milan v Pisa

How the SharpXI model rated this Serie A fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

AC Milan2 – 2 Pisa 24 Oct 2025

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 11 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Santiago Giménez	shots total	1+	98%	1	✓
Rafael Leão	shots total	1+	94%	4	✓
Youssouf Fofana	shots total	1+	89%	2	✓
M'bala Nzola	shots total	1+	86%	1	✓
Matteo Tramoni	shots total	1+	84%	1	✓
Juan Cuadrado	fouls drawn	1+	81%	0	✗
Henrik Wendel Meister	shots total	1+	81%	0	✗
Alexis Saelemaekers	shots total	1+	81%	3	✓
Koni De Winter	fouls committed	1+	79%	3	✓
Rafael Leão	fouls drawn	1+	78%	5	✓
Samuele Ricci	fouls drawn	1+	77%	2	✓
M'bala Nzola	fouls committed	1+	76%	1	✓
Alexis Saelemaekers	fouls drawn	1+	76%	3	✓
Henrik Wendel Meister	fouls committed	1+	73%	0	✗

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Match goals	O2.5	54%	4 goals	✓
Btts	Yes	46%	Yes	✓
Match cards	O4.5	8%	4 cards	✗

Dig deeper

AC Milan & Pisa player stats→ AC Milan players & stats→ Pisa players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

Pisa 1–2 AC Milan Feb 2026

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works