Serie A · 23/24

AC Milan v Salernitana

How the SharpXI model rated this Serie A fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

AC Milan3 – 3 Salernitana 25 May 2024

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 11 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Olivier Giroud	shots total	1+	98%	6	✓
Christian Pulišić	shots total	1+	94%	3	✓
Rafael Leão	shots total	1+	94%	2	✓
Theo Hernández	shots total	1+	89%	3	✓
Loum Tchaouna	shots total	1+	86%	3	✓
Grigoris Kastanos	fouls drawn	1+	83%	1	✓
Tijjani Reijnders	shots total	1+	81%	0	✗
Alessandro Florenzi	shots total	1+	81%	1	✓
Simy	shots total	1+	81%	3	✓
Antonio Candreva	shots total	1+	81%	3	✓
Niccolò Pierozzi	fouls committed	1+	80%	3	✓
Grigoris Kastanos	shots total	1+	79%	1	✓
Matteo Gabbia	fouls committed	1+	78%	0	✗
Giulio Maggiore	fouls committed	1+	76%	0	✗

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Match goals	O2.5	70%	6 goals	✓
Match cards	O4.5	53%	1 cards	✗
Btts	Yes	49%	Yes	✓

Dig deeper

AC Milan & Salernitana player stats→ AC Milan players & stats→ Salernitana players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works