Serie A · 22/23
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AC Milan v Sampdoria
How the SharpXI model rated this Serie A fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
AC Milan5 – 1
Sampdoria
20 May 2023
Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 12 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fabio Quagliarella | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 2 | ✓ |
| Rafael Leão | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 3 | ✓ |
| Olivier Giroud | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 7 | ✓ |
| Manolo Gabbiadini | shots total | 1+ | 89% | 1 | ✓ |
| Alexis Saelemaekers | shots total | 1+ | 89% | 1 | ✓ |
| Junior Messias | shots total | 1+ | 86% | 1 | ✓ |
| Olivier Giroud | fouls committed | 1+ | 83% | 0 | ✗ |
| Brahim Díaz | shots total | 1+ | 81% | 1 | ✓ |
| Sam Lammers | shots total | 1+ | 81% | 0 | ✗ |
| Tomás Rincón | fouls committed | 1+ | 80% | 1 | ✓ |
| Fabio Quagliarella | fouls drawn | 1+ | 79% | 1 | ✓ |
| Charles De Ketelaere | shots total | 1+ | 79% | 1 | ✓ |
| Theo Hernández | shots total | 1+ | 79% | 1 | ✓ |
| Charles De Ketelaere | fouls committed | 1+ | 78% | 1 | ✓ |
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match cards | O4.5 | 70% | 4 cards | ✗ |
| Match goals | O2.5 | 55% | 6 goals | ✓ |
| Btts | Yes | 47% | Yes | ✓ |
Dig deeper
AC Milan & Sampdoria player stats→
AC Milan players & stats→
Sampdoria players & stats→
Shots on target model→
To be carded model→
Guide: bet builder value→
Past meetings
- Sampdoria 1–2 AC Milan Sep 2022
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.