Serie A · 22/23
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Sampdoria v AC Milan
How the SharpXI model rated this Serie A fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Sampdoria1 – 2
AC Milan
10 Sep 2022
Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 11 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rafael Leão | shots total | 1+ | 89% | 2 | ✓ |
| Olivier Giroud | shots total | 1+ | 89% | 7 | ✓ |
| Manolo Gabbiadini | shots total | 1+ | 86% | 4 | ✓ |
| Olivier Giroud | fouls committed | 1+ | 81% | 0 | ✗ |
| Francesco Caputo | shots total | 1+ | 81% | 0 | ✗ |
| Tommaso Pobega | fouls committed | 1+ | 80% | 1 | ✓ |
| Junior Messias | fouls committed | 1+ | 80% | 0 | ✗ |
| Sandro Tonali | fouls committed | 1+ | 78% | 2 | ✓ |
| Charles De Ketelaere | fouls committed | 1+ | 78% | 1 | ✓ |
| Francesco Caputo | fouls drawn | 1+ | 77% | 1 | ✓ |
| Abdelhamid Sabiri | fouls drawn | 1+ | 76% | 1 | ✓ |
| Abdelhamid Sabiri | fouls committed | 1+ | 73% | 2 | ✓ |
| Pierre Kalulu | fouls committed | 1+ | 72% | 1 | ✓ |
| Davide Calabria | fouls committed | 1+ | 72% | 1 | ✓ |
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match cards | O4.5 | 77% | 7 cards | ✓ |
| Match goals | O2.5 | 53% | 3 goals | ✓ |
| Btts | Yes | 44% | Yes | ✓ |
Dig deeper
Sampdoria & AC Milan player stats→
Sampdoria players & stats→
AC Milan players & stats→
Shots on target model→
To be carded model→
Guide: bet builder value→
Past meetings
- AC Milan 5–1 Sampdoria May 2023
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.