Serie A · 23/24
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AS Roma v Salernitana
How the SharpXI model rated this Serie A fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
AS Roma2 – 2
Salernitana
20 Aug 2023
Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 11 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephan El Shaarawy | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 2 | ✓ |
| Andrea Belotti | shots total | 1+ | 89% | 4 | ✓ |
| Giulio Maggiore | fouls committed | 1+ | 82% | 1 | ✓ |
| Leandro Paredes | shots total | 1+ | 81% | 0 | ✗ |
| Nicola Zalewski | shots total | 1+ | 81% | 1 | ✓ |
| Andrea Belotti | fouls drawn | 1+ | 80% | 2 | ✓ |
| Grigoris Kastanos | shots total | 1+ | 79% | 1 | ✓ |
| Boulaye Dia | shots total | 1+ | 79% | 0 | ✗ |
| Lassana Coulibaly | fouls committed | 1+ | 79% | 2 | ✓ |
| Edoardo Bove | fouls committed | 1+ | 77% | 1 | ✓ |
| Leandro Paredes | fouls committed | 1+ | 77% | 0 | ✗ |
| Grigoris Kastanos | fouls drawn | 1+ | 77% | 1 | ✓ |
| Bryan Cristante | fouls committed | 1+ | 76% | 3 | ✓ |
| Nicola Zalewski | fouls drawn | 1+ | 76% | 1 | ✓ |
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match cards | O4.5 | 58% | 4 cards | ✗ |
| Match goals | O2.5 | 52% | 4 goals | ✓ |
| Btts | Yes | 42% | Yes | ✓ |
Dig deeper
AS Roma & Salernitana player stats→
AS Roma players & stats→
Salernitana players & stats→
Shots on target model→
To be carded model→
Guide: bet builder value→
Past meetings
- Salernitana 1–2 AS Roma Jan 2024
- AS Roma 2–2 Salernitana May 2023
- Salernitana 0–1 AS Roma Aug 2022
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.