Serie A · 22/23
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AS Roma v Sampdoria
How the SharpXI model rated this Serie A fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
AS Roma3 – 0
Sampdoria
2 Apr 2023
Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 10 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paulo Dybala | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 7 | ✓ |
| Manolo Gabbiadini | shots total | 1+ | 93% | 1 | ✓ |
| Stephan El Shaarawy | shots total | 1+ | 93% | 4 | ✓ |
| Tammy Abraham | shots total | 1+ | 92% | 2 | ✓ |
| Andrea Belotti | shots total | 1+ | 89% | 1 | ✓ |
| Lorenzo Pellegrini | shots total | 1+ | 86% | 3 | ✓ |
| Tomás Rincón | fouls committed | 1+ | 86% | 1 | ✓ |
| Andrea Belotti | fouls drawn | 1+ | 85% | 0 | ✗ |
| Paulo Dybala | fouls drawn | 1+ | 84% | 2 | ✓ |
| Andrea Belotti | fouls committed | 1+ | 83% | 0 | ✗ |
| Sam Lammers | shots total | 1+ | 81% | 0 | ✗ |
| Michaël Cuisance | shots total | 1+ | 81% | 1 | ✓ |
| Georginio Wijnaldum | shots total | 1+ | 81% | 4 | ✓ |
| Manolo Gabbiadini | fouls drawn | 1+ | 80% | 0 | ✗ |
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match cards | O4.5 | 76% | 8 cards | ✓ |
| Match goals | O2.5 | 46% | 3 goals | ✓ |
| Btts | Yes | 39% | No | ✗ |
Dig deeper
AS Roma & Sampdoria player stats→
AS Roma players & stats→
Sampdoria players & stats→
Shots on target model→
To be carded model→
Guide: bet builder value→
Past meetings
- Sampdoria 0–1 AS Roma Oct 2022
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.