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Serie A · 22/23

Sampdoria v AS Roma

How the SharpXI model rated this Serie A fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Sampdoria0 – 1 AS Roma 17 Oct 2022

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 9 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats boardBoth likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

PlayerMarketLineModel ActualResult
Tammy Abraham shots total 1+ 94% 0
Fabio Quagliarella shots total 1+ 93% 0
Stephan El Shaarawy shots total 1+ 89% 0
Manolo Gabbiadini shots total 1+ 89% 3
Nicolò Zaniolo shots total 1+ 89% 2
Ignacio Pussetto shots total 1+ 89% 0
Lorenzo Pellegrini shots total 1+ 89% 3
Nicolò Zaniolo fouls committed 1+ 84% 2
Nicolò Zaniolo fouls drawn 1+ 82% 2
Valerio Verre fouls committed 1+ 82% 1
Andrea Belotti fouls committed 1+ 81% 2
Gianluca Mancini fouls committed 1+ 81% 1
Francesco Caputo shots total 1+ 81% 2
Nicola Zalewski shots total 1+ 81% 0

Team & match markets

MarketLineModel ActualResult
Match cards O4.5 71% 7 cards
Match goals O2.5 52% 1 goals
Btts Yes 34% No

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Past meetings

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.