Serie A · 25/26

Atalanta v Hellas Verona

How the SharpXI model rated this Serie A fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Atalanta1 – 0 Hellas Verona 22 Mar 2026

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 9 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Nikola Krstović	shots total	1+	100%	3	✓
Giacomo Raspadori	shots total	1+	98%	0	✗
Gift Orban	shots total	1+	94%	4	✓
Charles De Ketelaere	shots total	1+	89%	0	✗
Kieron Bowie	shots total	1+	86%	2	✓
Nicola Zalewski	fouls drawn	1+	85%	3	✓
Tomáš Suslov	fouls drawn	1+	81%	1	✓
Nicola Zalewski	shots total	1+	81%	2	✓
Tomáš Suslov	fouls committed	1+	80%	0	✗
Éderson	shots total	1+	79%	1	✓
Jean Daniel Akpa-Akpro	fouls committed	1+	79%	0	✗
Nikola Krstović	fouls drawn	1+	78%	3	✓
Abdou Harroui	fouls committed	1+	77%	0	✗
Nikola Krstović	fouls committed	1+	77%	3	✓

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Match goals	O2.5	50%	1 goals	✗
Btts	Yes	47%	No	✗
Match cards	O4.5	40%	4 cards	✗

Dig deeper

Atalanta & Hellas Verona player stats→ Atalanta players & stats→ Hellas Verona players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works