Serie A · 23/24

Atalanta v Salernitana

How the SharpXI model rated this Serie A fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Atalanta4 – 1 Salernitana 18 Dec 2023

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 11 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Luis Muriel	shots total	1+	98%	6	✓
Ademola Lookman	shots total	1+	98%	4	✓
Charles De Ketelaere	shots total	1+	89%	1	✓
Mario Pašalić	shots total	1+	89%	1	✓
Boulaye Dia	shots total	1+	89%	3	✓
Chukwubuikem Ikwuemesi	shots total	1+	86%	1	✓
Teun Koopmeiners	shots total	1+	86%	2	✓
Antonio Candreva	shots total	1+	84%	1	✓
Charles De Ketelaere	fouls drawn	1+	81%	1	✓
Grigoris Kastanos	shots total	1+	81%	0	✗
Loum Tchaouna	shots total	1+	81%	0	✗
Davide Zappacosta	shots total	1+	81%	2	✓
Giorgio Scalvini	fouls committed	1+	80%	1	✓
Grigoris Kastanos	fouls drawn	1+	79%	0	✗

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Match goals	O2.5	57%	5 goals	✓
Btts	Yes	45%	Yes	✓
Match cards	O4.5	32%	3 cards	✗

Dig deeper

Atalanta & Salernitana player stats→ Atalanta players & stats→ Salernitana players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works