Serie A · 25/26

Bologna v Hellas Verona

How the SharpXI model rated this Serie A fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Bologna1 – 2 Hellas Verona 8 Mar 2026

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 14 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Federico Bernardeschi	shots total	1+	94%	3	✓
Santiago Castro	shots total	1+	94%	5	✓
Jonathan Rowe	shots total	1+	94%	2	✓
Riccardo Orsolini	shots total	1+	94%	3	✓
Gift Orban	shots total	1+	93%	5	✓
Jens Odgaard	shots total	1+	89%	2	✓
Jean Daniel Akpa-Akpro	fouls committed	1+	86%	2	✓
Santiago Castro	fouls drawn	1+	83%	2	✓
Jonathan Rowe	fouls drawn	1+	82%	5	✓
Abdou Harroui	fouls committed	1+	81%	3	✓
Jens Odgaard	fouls drawn	1+	81%	2	✓
Kieron Bowie	shots total	1+	81%	4	✓
Kieron Bowie	fouls committed	1+	80%	3	✓
Riccardo Orsolini	fouls drawn	1+	79%	2	✓

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Match cards	O4.5	44%	3 cards	✗
Btts	Yes	39%	Yes	✓
Match goals	O2.5	36%	3 goals	✓

Dig deeper

Bologna & Hellas Verona player stats→ Bologna players & stats→ Hellas Verona players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works