Serie A · 25/26

Bologna v Pisa

How the SharpXI model rated this Serie A fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Bologna4 – 0 Pisa 5 Oct 2025

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 11 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Riccardo Orsolini	shots total	1+	98%	4	✓
Federico Bernardeschi	shots total	1+	94%	1	✓
Thijs Dallinga	shots total	1+	94%	3	✓
Jonathan Rowe	shots total	1+	94%	4	✓
Nicolò Cambiaghi	fouls drawn	1+	93%	2	✓
Nicolò Cambiaghi	shots total	1+	89%	2	✓
M'bala Nzola	shots total	1+	86%	0	✗
Jens Odgaard	shots total	1+	86%	2	✓
M'bala Nzola	fouls committed	1+	83%	1	✓
Juan Cuadrado	fouls drawn	1+	83%	1	✓
Giovanni Fabbian	fouls drawn	1+	81%	1	✓
Riccardo Orsolini	fouls drawn	1+	81%	0	✗
Giovanni Fabbian	shots total	1+	81%	2	✓
Matteo Tramoni	shots total	1+	81%	0	✗

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Btts	Yes	39%	No	✗
Match goals	O2.5	31%	4 goals	✓
Match cards	O4.5	11%	2 cards	✗

Dig deeper

Bologna & Pisa player stats→ Bologna players & stats→ Pisa players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

Pisa 0–1 Bologna Mar 2026

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works