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Serie A · 25/26

Pisa v Bologna

How the SharpXI model rated this Serie A fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Pisa0 – 1 Bologna 2 Mar 2026

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 10 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats boardBoth likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

PlayerMarketLineModel ActualResult
Riccardo Orsolini shots total 1+ 98% 1
Federico Bernardeschi shots total 1+ 94% 0
Santiago Castro shots total 1+ 94% 3
Jens Odgaard shots total 1+ 93% 1
Nicolò Cambiaghi fouls drawn 1+ 89% 2
Marius Marin fouls committed 1+ 87% 3
Juan Cuadrado fouls drawn 1+ 84% 0
Santiago Castro fouls drawn 1+ 81% 2
Stefano Moreo shots total 1+ 81% 1
Filip Stojilković shots total 1+ 81% 1
Rafiu Durosinmi shots total 1+ 81% 0
Nicolò Cambiaghi shots total 1+ 81% 2
Rafiu Durosinmi fouls committed 1+ 80% 1
Mehdi Léris shots total 1+ 79% 0

Team & match markets

MarketLineModel ActualResult
Btts Yes 49% No
Match goals O2.5 44% 1 goals
Match cards O4.5 25% 2 cards

Dig deeper

Past meetings

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.